Section: New Results
Bayesian inversion by ω-complete cone duality
Participants : Fredrik Dahlqvist, Vincent Danos, Ilias Garnier [correspondant] , Ohad Kammar.
The process of inverting Markov kernels relates to the important subject of Bayesian modelling and learning. In fact, Bayesian update is exactly kernel inversion. In this paper, we investigate how and when Markov kernels (aka stochastic relations, or probabilistic mappings, or simply kernels) can be inverted. We address the question both directly on the category of measurable spaces, and indirectly by interpreting kernels as Markov operators:
For the direct option, we introduce a typed version of the category of Markov kernels and use the so-called ‘disintegration of measures’. Here, one has to specialise to measurable spaces borne from a simple class of topological spaces -e.g. Polish spaces (other choices are possible). Our method and result greatly simplify a recent development in Ref. [4].
For the operator option, we use a cone version of the category of Markov operators (kernels seen as predicate transformers). That is to say, our linear operators are not just continuous, but are required to satisfy the stronger condition of being