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STEEP - 2024

2024Activity reportProject-TeamSTEEP

RNSR: 201020763E
  • Research center Inria Centre at Université Grenoble Alpes
  • In partnership with:CNRS, Université de Grenoble Alpes
  • Team name: Sustainability transition, environment, economy and local policy
  • In collaboration with:Laboratoire Jean Kuntzmann (LJK)
  • Domain:Digital Health, Biology and Earth
  • Theme:Earth, Environmental and Energy Sciences

Keywords

Computer Science and Digital Science

  • A5.2. Data visualization
  • A6.1. Methods in mathematical modeling
  • A6.1.4. Multiscale modeling
  • A8.2.1. Operations research
  • A9.6. Decision support

Other Research Topics and Application Domains

  • B2. Health
  • B3.1. Sustainable development
  • B3.1.1. Resource management
  • B3.4. Risks
  • B3.4.3. Pollution
  • B3.5. Agronomy
  • B4.1. Fossile energy production (oil, gas)
  • B4.3. Renewable energy production
  • B4.4. Energy delivery
  • B4.5. Energy consumption
  • B7. Transport and logistics
  • B8.3. Urbanism and urban planning
  • B8.5.1. Participative democracy
  • B8.5.3. Collaborative economy
  • B9.1.2. Serious games
  • B9.2. Art
  • B9.6.3. Economy, Finance
  • B9.6.9. Political sciences
  • B9.9. Ethics
  • B9.11. Risk management

1 Team members, visitors, external collaborators

Research Scientists

  • Peter Sturm [Team leader, INRIA, Senior Researcher]
  • Mathilde Boissier [INRIA, ISFP, from Feb 2024]
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne [INRIA, ISFP]
  • Nils Ferrand [INRAE, Researcher, until Aug 2024]
  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti [CNRS, Researcher]
  • Emmanuel Prados [INRIA, Researcher]
  • Sophie Wahnich [CNRS]

Faculty Members

  • Serge Fenet [UNIV LYON I, Associate Professor Delegation]
  • Guillaume Mandil [UGA, Associate Professor]
  • Renaud Metereau [UNIV PARIS - CITE, Associate Professor Delegation, from Sep 2024]

Post-Doctoral Fellow

  • Hugo Martin [INRIA, Post-Doctoral Fellow, until Jun 2024]

PhD Students

  • Enzo Baquet [Inria]
  • Antonin Berthe [Ministère ESR]
  • Alexandre Borthomieu [UGA]
  • Albert Bouffange [Sciences Po Lyon]
  • Thibaut Coudroy [UGA, from Oct 2024]
  • Quentin Desvaux [Grenoble Alpes Métropole]
  • Leon Fauste [UGA]
  • Hannah Gelblat-Laugier [Université de Lausanne, from Feb 2024]
  • Jérémie Klein [UGA]
  • Emmanuel Krieger [UGA]
  • Damien Rieutor [ADEME]

Interns and Apprentices

  • Julien Cambonie [UGA, Intern, from Oct 2024]
  • Caroline Cesaratto [INRIA, Intern, from May 2024 until Aug 2024]
  • Thibaut Coudroy [INRIA, Intern, from Mar 2024 until Jul 2024]
  • Sam Mellier [INRIA, Intern, from Feb 2024 until Jul 2024]
  • Johan Milleret [G2Elab, Intern, from Feb 2024 until Jun 2024]
  • Nicolas Revilla Lopez [INRIA, Intern, from Mar 2024 until Jul 2024]
  • Marine Valette [INRIA, Intern, from May 2024 until Nov 2024]

Administrative Assistant

  • Marie-Anne Dauphin-Rizzi [INRIA]

External Collaborators

  • Julien Alapetite [Terriflux]
  • Catherine Figuière [Université Grenoble Alpes, CREG Lab, Grenoble]
  • Vincent Jost [CNRS, G-SCOP Lab, Grenoble]
  • Agnès Labrousse [SciencesPoLyon]
  • Sophie Madelrieux [INRAE]
  • Christine Solnon [INSA Lyon]
  • Olivier Vidal [CNRS, ISTerre Lab, Grenoble]
  • Gwendoline de Oliveira Neves [Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Seville, Spain]
  • Valérie d’Acremont [Université de Lausanne, Switzerland]

2 Overall objectives

2.1 Context

“We are eroding the very foundations of our economies, livelihoods, food security, health and quality of life worldwide. [...] [However] it is not too late to make a difference, but only if we start now at every level from local to global, [and by this we mean] a fundamental, system-wide reorganization across technological, economic and social factors, including paradigms, goals and values.” Robert Watson, President of the IPBES, on May 6, 2019

Environmental issues now pose a threat to human civilization worldwide. They range from falling water tables to eroding soils, expanding deserts, biodiversity loss, rising temperatures, etc. For example, half the world's population lives in countries where water tables are falling as aquifers are being depleted; roughly a third of the world's cropland is losing topsoil at an excessive rate; glaciers are melting in all of the world's major mountains. The consequences on present human societies are critical; they comprise for example increasing threats on global food security, increasing pressures resulting in important population movements (such as climate refugees) and explosive geopolitical tensions. See 76 for a global picture of the situation.

The risks associated with delayed reaction and adaptation times make the situation urgent. Delayed reactions significantly increase the magnitude of the overshoot of the planet's carrying capacity and the probability of uncontrolled and irreversible evolutions on a number of fronts, potentially leading to global environmental collapse 98, 84. This systemic problem is amplified by two facts: the environment is degrading on all fronts at the same time and at the global planetary scale, a first in human history.

Sustainable development is often formulated in terms of a required balance between the environmental, economic and social dimensions, but in practice public policies addressing sustainability issues are dominantly oriented towards environment management in Western countries. This approach is problematic as environmental problems and sustainability issues result from socio-economic phenomena (for example the economic growth model which is strengthened by powerful and polluting technologies). In addition, most efforts towards tackling them bear on developing technological solutions. However, it has been clear for several years if not decades that, albeit necessary and/or useful, this will not be sufficient 82, 83, 91. We need to rethink our socio-economic and institutional models in order to leave room for a possible paradigm shift. In this perspective, we believe that crucial steps should be taken in research to help elaborating and implementing socio-economic alternatives.

Although environmental challenges are monitored worldwide, the search for appropriate lines of action must nevertheless take place at all institutional levels, in particular at local scales. We indeed believe that local levels are pivotal in this effort. In particular, we think that two local scales are going to be increasingly dominant in the near future: urban areas (more exactly the employment catchment areas of main cities) and “regions” (such as régions in France, Länder in Germany or Province in Italy). It seems essential to us that local policies and actions are made coherent and articulated across different scales, from local to global.

2.2 Objectives and outline of research axes

The research program of the STEEP team takes the above warnings seriously and aims to “help bring about a profound transformation of economies” at all scales, with a particular focus on sub-national scales over which actors have more control. This program is articulated around two axes.

The GSR (Global Systemic Risks) axis analyzes, on a global scale, the trend dynamics of risks and collapse, with a characteristic time step of the order of a decade or more, as well as the risks of systemic contagion, with a much shorter time step, due to the interconnection of key sectors of the economy (e.g. energy, finance, just-in-time supply chains, etc).

Our objective here is to rely on or develop numerical models (such as system dynamics, hybrid models including agents, etc.) that allow us to understand the vulnerabilities of our society and the environmental and socio-economic determinants that will constrain its sustainability. The systemic dimension is a key point here. Given the levels of uncertainty and complexity linked to the factors involved here, the idea is not to make predictions, but to understand the mechanisms and processes at play by providing robust qualitative or semi-quantitative analyses (providing orders of magnitude or comparative elements, for example). This work has for us a double objective: 1) to bring new crucial elements of scientific understanding to the public debate on these issues and to continue to increase public awareness and to aler key actors; 2) to inform the decision making process regarding the alternatives that can be implemented (in terms of vulnerability and sustainability determinants).

The second research axis is called STA (SocioTechnical Alternatives). Its objective is to contribute to enrich the debates around possible alternatives: what would an economy within the planetary limits look like and what living standards would it correspond to? What trade-offs would have to be made between socio-economic and environmental criteria, between vulnerabilities, equity and territorial sustainability? The approach adopted does not consist in seeking to optimize the existing system but to imagine and evaluate radically different futures. In this perspective, the first step is to correctly describe "where we are starting from and where we want to go", which might then guide elaborations on the relevant trajectories ("how do we get there?").

Work in this axis relies on several types of approach: modeling the material basis of the economy (in particular through material and energy flow analysis), which requires numerical tools (such as numerical optimization and uncertainty propagation), modeling immaterial and institutional aspects of the territorial metabolism, participatory processes.

Overall, the objective of STEEP is to develop tools for decision aid based on or enabling a systemic vision of the issues – both globally and locally – and to implement sustainable policies at local scales, in particular to transform the productive system and consumption patterns.

  • It is very important to integrate the whole decision process in the analysis of sustainability issues, for three reasons: 1) to ensure that the designed models address the most relevant issues in terms of sustainability; 2) to develop tools that have a real impact; and 3) to amplify the effective use of these tools by the different stakeholders at local scales (decision makers, decision-help agencies, citizens, organized civil society, ...).
  • The focus on local scales reflects not only the relevance of these decision levels, but also the relative lack of relevant modeling exercises at such scales.
  • Because the numerous and interrelated pressures exerted by human activities on the environment make the identification of sustainable pathways arduous in a context of complex and sometimes conflicting stakeholders and socio-ecological interactions, the systemic and integrative dimension, whether multisectoral or multi-scale, is essential from the scientific point of view, as well as for the decision process. We expect to provide highly integrated tools compatible with practical use taking into account the intrinsic constraints of decision processes. A strong level of integration is desirable to identify feedback phenomena which would be very hard to anticipate otherwise. This is why we also strive to develop transdisciplinary approaches.

Figure 1 is an attempt to map the structure of the research axes and the links between them and their components. The figure also includes our previous work on LUCC (Land Use and land Cover Change) modeling.

Figure 1

Sketch of the team structure: building blocks of the two research axes and logical connections. Participatory processes can (and should) intervene in each part of STA (participatory modeling, participatory simulation, participatory decision-aiding).

Figure 1:

Sketch of the team structure: building blocks of the two research axes and logical connections. The orange and the green areas respectively depict the contents of the Global Systemic Risks axis (GSR) and of the Sociotechnical Alternatives axis (STA). Participatory processes can (and should) intervene in each part of STA (participatory modeling, participatory simulation, participatory decision-aiding).

The meaning of the arrows is as follows: (1) GSR's inform on the vulnerabilities of current or imagined sociotechnical systems and potentially change actors' representations, priorities and decisions; (2) Long term risks are currently analyzed through our work on the World3 model; (3) Short term risks are currently analyzed through our work on the energy/macroeconomy/macrofinance nexus; (4) Long term degradation trends increase the probability of occurrence of (short term) domino-effect crises; (5) The nexus model is an input to assess the feasibility of an energy transition, and is in effect also a potential short-term risk; (6) The latter limits the option space for STA's; (7) The most common way to navigate between the 4 STA blocks is to start by describing, assessing and evaluating the current system and then to identify levers of action. Note that this cycle is performed for several alternatives depending on the chosen levers. STA's are seen as biophysically consistent narratives that feed (and derive from) people's imaginaries. After deliberation, a decision is made on the desired alternative and actions are taken; (8) It is also possible to go the other way round, that is, to deliberate on the desired goals (here, desired indicator values) and then examine the option space corresponding to these goals, in terms of STA's and levers of action. Sociotechnical lock-ins can be an obstacle to the decision on, and implementation of, levers of action; (9) LUCC (Land Use and land Cover Change) is a planetary boundary which is triggering GSR's; (10) Finally, LUCC models contribute to the description of the system and the spatialization it provides enables the translation of environmental pressures into impacts on ecosystems.

3 Research program

3.1 Research axis 1: Global Systemic Risks

Strictly speaking, in the scientific literature, the term “risk” designates a hazard compounded by its probability of occurrence (e.g., the risk of a plane crashing). Systemic risks refer to system wide risks (e.g., risk of financial crises of large magnitude). Global systemic risks (cross-sectoral risks) arise because systemic risks are often interconnected, and characterized by many feedbacks at various spatial and temporal scales (e.g., climate change and its impacts on the environment and human life and activities). A number of global systemic risks are subject to an intrinsic form of indeterminacy that invalidates the very possibility of a probabilistic approach. Quite often, the term risk is then used in a more casual way, referring to a vulnerability associated to a hazard, and this second, more informal meaning is the one used in this document, in particular because some risks are indeterminate in the meaning just specified.

The literature devoted to systemic risks is extended and varied, with roots in exact and environmental sciences 97, 90 or in social sciences 78. Two areas of systemic risks have been the object of a particular focus in the past decades: environmental risks (e.g., climate change), and financial risks, but many more types of interconnected risks can be identified. They are often grouped into five categories: economic, geopolitical, environmental, social and technological. In the economic sector, the main risks are related to market instabilities, particularly in the energy sector, and financial risks. Geopolitical risks are largely related to potential sources of conflict, whether or not linked to the threat of terrorism. On the environmental front, climate change, loss of biodiversity and their consequences appear to be dominant, but natural disasters can also play a role; issues related to changes in land use (deforestation, erosion and desertification, artificialization) are also very important. At the societal or socio-political level, issues of inequality, food security, access to water, health risks (particularly pandemics) and migration are prominent. As for technological risks, they largely concern the fragility of modern computerized communication systems and network infrastructures (e.g. electricity distribution networks). These categories of risk and their interactions are represented in Figure 2.

Figure 2

This figure shows the high level of interconnections between issues such as economic disparity, migration, food security, climate change, financial crises, etc.

Figure 2: Global systemic risks and their interconnections according to the 2011 World Economic Forum report (reproduced in 90). These risks are assessed by expert opinion and the importance attributed to them reflects in part cyclical concerns.

From a process point of view, global systemic risks can be grouped into two categories:

  • Long term trends related risks: These are produced by the decade or century long evolutions of our modern global societies. They arise from the growing tension between resource use, production of (often diffuse) pollutions of various kinds, and the capacity of our environment to absorb the related impacts. The induced environmental changes affect our socio-ecosystems, and are amplified by existing socio-political, economic and historical dynamics.
  • Short term, randomly triggered risks: These risks occur on much shorter term (weeks to a few years). They are intermittent, random1 and related to the high level of interdependence of many sectors of activity, to intrinsic instabilities produced by this interdependence, and to their propagation through all sectors of activity through a kind of domino effect. The occurrence of such risks is accelerating. In the last decade or so, one can mention the 2008 financial crisis, the COVID crisis and the russian-ukrainian conflict and its implication on global energy and food security. This acceleration is not coincidental, as these risks interact with and are amplified by long term trend ones.

The emblematic model of the first category is the World3 model developed by the Meadows group for its famous report on the limits to growth 95, 97. The re-analyses of 100, 101 and 73 have renewed interest in this model while raising more specific questions about the robustness of the conclusions drawn from it. We approach these questions through an analysis on three complementary fronts:

  1. An analysis of the choices of parameterization based on a sensitivity analysis that is much finer than the existing ones.
  2. An analysis of modeling choices based on a sectoral and geographical disaggregation of the model.
  3. Elements of epistemological analysis.

The main practical interest of this research lies in the possibility of discerning the risks of collapse in the short term (pre-2050) or further out in time (post-2050), both of which require different mitigation and adaptation strategies that must be properly anticipated.

In terms of systemic contagion risks, and although an exhaustive analysis of all the categories of potential risks is impossible in an exploratory phase, the energy/macroeconomics nexus plays a particular role in our societies and presents a specific criticality. Sectoral or cross-sectoral analyses of certain aspects of this nexus already exist in the literature (see for example 88, 92, 75), but apparently no overall model has been produced on this subject, and in particular no dynamic model. Such a realization would constitute in itself a significant advance.

This research question is presently pursued in two different but complementary directions: 1/ a reanalysis of the issue of peak oil supply and its relation to the energy transition; 2/ the development of an original energy/macroeconomics/financial speculation model. Finally, some steps towards a realistic model of domino effects are taken through the issue of a potential long-lasting (days or more than a week) black-out.

3.2 Research axis 2: Sociotechnical Alternatives

The main motivation of the STA axis is to help actors produce narratives of the future which are consistent from a biophysical viewpoint and which take into account indirect (systemic) impacts. In a more and more constrained world, this means being able to identify and decide on trade-offs relative to the different aspects of the problem. Another way of formulating the axis’ goal is that we wish to design planning tools that would address social and ecological stakes, and reflect on their use by a variety of actors, in a democratic context.

Our work concerns three aspects: (1) description of current sociotechnical systems, (2) description and assessment of STAs, (3) participation.

Figure 3

Example of a Sankey diagram resulting from a single-scale SC-MFA: Agriculture raw materials fed to livestock in France in 2015 (millions of tons) 79.

Figure 3: Example of a Sankey diagram resulting from a single-scale SC-MFA: Agriculture raw materials fed to livestock in France in 2015 (millions of tons) 79.

1 – Description of sociotechnical systems. The cornerstone of the STA research axis are a method and associated software for multi-scale Supply Chain Material Flow Analysis (SC-MFA, see 81 for an overview and Figure 3 for a simple example). Material flows (production, transformation, exchanges, consumption, waste) are the basic building blocks of our supply chain studies. We designed methods and tools to model a supply chain (in terms of products, sectors and possible flows between them) and reconcile incomplete and/or inconsistent data. The flows allow:

  • To apprehend up/downstream vulnerabilities of supply chains (e.g. dependence on imports),
  • To question the use of natural resources and the possible problems of competition for use (e.g.: can the development of biofuels lead to competition between food and energy production?),
  • And finally to estimate environmental footprints (e.g. carbon, energy, water, chemical pollution, land use, etc.).

2 – Description and assessment of sociotechnical alternatives. The most significant novelty compared to our pre-2018 work relative to territorial metabolism is to tackle the design and assessment of sociotechnical alternatives (STAs) for the future. The term alternative is used in place of scenario to emphasize that we currently describe possible points of arrival in the future and not pathways to move from today's situation to the desired outcome.

The objective of this research program is to help shed light on the debates around possible alternatives: what would a one-planet economy look like and what standards of living would it imply? What compromises will have to be made between socio-economic and environmental criteria, between resilience, equity and sustainability of territories?

Our work is structured around four main objectives:

  • To propose a formalism to describe sociotechnical alternatives. In particular, we are working on extensions of physical supply/use tables, able to provide information on the interactions between materials and energy. We are also interested in coupling quantitative (technical dimension) and qualitative (social dimension) representations.
  • To propose a methodology (and eventually a software) allowing groups of actors to imagine their own alternatives,
  • To develop a methodology and associated tools to evaluate an alternative (cf. Figure 4):
    • What needs does it cover?
    • What are the local, remote or global pressures and impacts generated? How do they compare to local and global limits?
    • What would be the vulnerabilities of the system described?
    • What are the socio-economic performances of the system described (e.g., in terms of allocation of the workforce, allocation of added-value...)?
  • To help comparing alternatives and structuring related debates.

3 – Participation. The work on STAs for the future motivated this last sub-axis which aims both at empowering local actors and to learn from them, in line with principles of post-normal science 87. As explained above, one of our main objectives is to contribute towards having possible sociotechnical alternatives for a territory be co-constructed by all relevant stakeholders and be debated democratically. This covers all aspects, from the definition of what is at stake and of the criteria to use for assessing alternatives, to the actual co-construction and assessment of the latter. Furthermore, such participative processes may benefit from some form of training or awareness-raising on systemic issues. Our activities along these lines have started in 2021.

Figure 4

The figure shows, on the one hand, the basic definitions associated with sociotechnical alternatives: they correspond to modes of production and consumption and embody interactions between sectors, particularly pertaining to energy and resources. On the other hand, the figure illustrates the four planned modes of assessing such sociotechnical alternatives: assessment in terms of vulnerabilities, need satisfaction, socio-economic perfomance, and absolute environmental sustainability.

Figure 4: Schematic overview of research questions and concepts underlying sociotechnical alternatives. Center: targeted sociotechnical alternatives are typically of multi-scale nature. Borders: the four dimensions to be considered in evaluating sociotechnical alternatives (see text).

4 Application domains

One of the characteristics and objectives of our research project is to try to provide integrated and systemic visions and approaches to reduce and prepare for the consequences (shocks, depletion of resources, etc.) due to the overshooting of planetary limits and to identify the room for manoeuvre and means of action available to us to act against them. It is an “applicative” project as such.

Most of our scientific activities aim at aiding the design of, and decision on, public policies. Another important general goal of our activities is to raise awareness of environmental and associated social issues, and of their interrelated and systemic nature, through dissemination, education and training activities. Indeed, we are convinced that decision aid is intrinsically intertwined with such dissemination activities.

In the following, we detail both of these aspects.

4.1 Decision aid for public policies

We pursue this goal through the development of scientific knowledge, models and tools that aim to be directly relevant to policy questions. Further, we do so, whenever possible, in direct collaboration with public authorities or other relevant partners (such as representative bodies for agrifood supply chains). Besides contributing to scientific production as such, we are also present in expert groups or scientific councils of public bodies (municipalities, regional parks, etc.).

In the following, we list a few examples of policy-relevant issues we address or have addressed in our work. This list is not exhaustive.

  • Material and energy flow analysis (of supply chains or “entire” economies), or MFA. With applications for instance in:
    • Ecological accounting for sectorial pressure assessment.
    • Analysis of public policies dedicated to building waste.
    • Decision aid for territorial strategies in the agrifood, energy and other sectors. In collaboration with, or through our startup Terriflux.
  • Land cover and land use modeling, urban economy and urban/periurban planning:
    • Modeling of land cover changes.
    • Integrated modeling of land use and transportation.
  • Systemic risk modeling and analysis, both on global and local scales:
    • Studying global systemic risks, for instance by analyzing the iconic World3 model 96, 97.
    • Systemic risks on the health sector.
    • Systemic risks on a local territory (Grenoble metropolitan area).
  • Nexus modeling:
    • Modeling and analysis of the energy/macroeconomics/finance nexus.
    • Assessing the feasibility of an energy transition.
    • Analysis of cascade risks (domino effects). The present and future focus is on the consequences of a blackout, in particular on the health sector.
  • Particaptory approaches, with applications to territorial foresight studies or to several of the above issues (such as for decision aid for territorial strategies in the agrifood, energy and other sectors):
    • Supporting citizen dialogue willing to transform their territories.
    • Include the previous models into serious games to help citizens to understand complexity.
    • Create new interfaces between academic research and society.

4.2 Raising awareness of environmental and associated social issues: Dissemination, training, teaching, popular education

We believe it to be important that scientists, based on scientific knowledge, engage themselves in raising awareness of the general public. As a matter of fact, we think that the systemic nature of environmental and social issues is not yet sufficiently developed in public discourse.

We try to contribute to awareness raising through tools available to scientists, and according to principles outlined for example in the MakeSEnS initiative we co-coordinated 74, the Avis “Entre liberté et responsabilité : l’engagement public des chercheurs et chercheuses” published in 2023 by COMETS (CNRS Ethical Committee) 80, or a similar report produced for the University of Lausanne in 2022 86.

Team members are involved in the French government's initiative Formation à la transition écologique, aimed at familiarizing all French public service executives with the challenges of an ecological transition (see section 10.1.4). Since several years we teach interdisciplinary courses on the mentioned systemic issues; see also the Anthropocene FACTS initiative we have created and carried for several years (section 10.2.1). Our conference-debate series and YouTube-channel “Understanding and Acting” (see section 10.3.1) has been launched in 2016 and has featured a wide range of scientific presentations on environmental and social issues. We also intervene in many general audience actions and in popular education, through presentations, round tables, interviews, and the animation of our Global Systemic Risks fresco.

Overall, we consider this as a contribution to Inria's mission of knowledge transfer to society.

5 Social and environmental responsibility

5.1 Footprint of research activities

While the team does not apply any strict formal rules concerning the following issues, it is probably safe to say that a certain level of awareness on environmental issues that is natural given our line of work, guides many of our “daily” decisions. Examples of how environmental impacts are considered are provided in the following.

Contrary to what some might suspect, we do use computers, networks and other digital equipment for our research..., meaning that the direct footprint of our research activities is higher than if we were working with pen and paper only. Generally speaking, we aim at keeping our footprint as low as possible given the requirements of our work. For instance, computing equipment is used as long as possible (the current average age of our desktop computers for instance, is more than 9 years; Peter, who writes these lines, has a new laptop, after using the previous one for 11 years; etc.). Criteria for choosing publication venues include where conferences are held (to lower the footprint of work travel). The number of trips by plane in the last years is probably way below Inria average (none in 2024). Many team members use the bicycle for home-to-work trips, sometimes for work trips as such. The ratio of vegetarian over meat-based dishes taken for lunch at the local cantine, is rather high compared to the national average. The majority of our collaborations, be they with academic or with other partners, are local (in Grenoble or within the Région). This is natural given that our work requires partnerships with territorial authorities for instance, but is also a matter of choice. Besides trying to limit the direct footprint of our work, some team members are also involved in initiatives whose general aim is to reduce the environmental impact of research, such as Campus d'après Grenoble and MakeSEns.

Having said all this, we think that on average, the environmental and social impact scientists have is dominated by the topics and applications they choose to work on, more so than by the direct impact of their day-to-day work-related activities.

5.2 Impact of research results

All of the team's research activities are directly dedicated to environmental and social issues. On the one hand, this concerns both of our research axes – Global Systemic Risks and Sociotechnical Alternatives – and on the other, the type of collaborations we build to underpin these axes – partnerships with different territorial and environmental bodies and also more and more with civil society.

Besides research activites per se, we also pursue various dissemination activities related to social and environmental issues, towards general audiences, and give transdisciplinary university courses.

6 Highlights of the year

This year gave rise to several milestones for our team:

  • Our Comprendre et Agir conference-debate series (see section 10.3.1) crossed the mark of 1 million viewings on YouTube. While videos of cats reach higher scores, we consider this a true success for a series produced with external aid and a low budget, showcasing conferences of scientists speaking in depth about serious issues.
  • This year, we signed a research collaboration agreement with the Pôle d'Équilibre Territorial et Rural du Briançonnais, du Pays des Écrins, du Guillestrois et du Queyras. It formalises and finances our involvement in the project described in sections 8.2.7 and 9.4.1. This is a highlight for the team since it is the first time we co-coordinate a project aimed at directly aiding decisions for public policies on major issues for a territory.
  • The first edition of the yearly Grenoble Risk Report (RARRe – Rapport annuel sur les risques et la résilience dans la région Grenobloise) was published in 2024 (see section 9.4.4 for details). We have been part of this initiative since its inception. It is inspired by the World Economic Forum's annual Global Risk Reports and seems to be the first local initiative of this type, worldwide. Like the project above, it is about decision aid for public policies, one of our essential application areas.

6.1 COMP 2024-2028

Note : Readers are advised that the Institute does not endorse the text in the “Highlights of the year” section, which is the sole responsibility of the team leader.

At the end of 2024, Inria’s top management enacted a new Contrat d’objectifs, de moyens et de performance (COMP), which defines Inria’s objectives for the period 2024–2028. We are unhappy and concerned about the content of this document and the way it was imposed and would like to express our concerns in the following.

The document defines Inria’s main mission as “contributing to the digital sovereignty of the Nation through research and innovation” and proposes to amend Inria’s founding decree to reflect this new definition. We strongly believe that our primary mission is (and should remain) the advancement of human knowledge through research. Research is not a means to achieve “digital sovereignty”, whatever that may mean. Research should not be associated with any particular nation, whatever that nation may be.

The document announces the creation of a funding agency within Inria. France already has an independent funding agency, the ANR. The creation of a new funding agency within a research institute is unnecessary and a waste of resources. It is also likely to create confusion, opacity, and conflicts of interest.

Many aspects of the document reflect a desire to drive research in a top-down manner, for example through the selection of “strategic partner institutions” and “strategic themes”. This threatens the fundamental freedom of researchers to choose their research topics and collaborations.

The document indicates that all of Inria’s research should have “dual nature”, that is, both civilian and military applications. While some of the institute’s research may have military applications, the vast majority of it is independent of the military, and should remain so.

The document announces a desire to place all of Inria in a “restricted regime area” (ZRR), which means that the hiring of researchers and interns will be reviewed and possibly vetoed by the Fonctionnaire Sécurité Défense. This creates administrative delays, subjects hiring to opaque criteria, and discourages the hiring of foreign nationals, thus harming research and collaboration.

Neither the staff nor their representative bodies were given the opportunity to participate in (or influence) the drafting of the COMP. Furthermore, staff opposition to these policies, which has been expressed in several votes and petitions, has been completely ignored.

7 New software, platforms, open data

7.1 New software

7.1.1 Sankeytool

  • Name:
    Web app for drawing Sankey diagrams
  • Keyword:
    Sankey diagram
  • Scientific Description:
    A Sankey diagram is a visualization of sectors that are arranged in layers: in each layer, sectors are represented by nodes which are organized and aligned vertically. Flows are only possible between distinct layers, therefore they are mainly horizontally oriented. Each flow is represented by a graphic link (e.g. a Bézier curve) having a width corresponding to the flow volume. The main objective is to visualize an economic sector or another structure in the most efficient way, in other words the representation of the elements must facilitate human understanding of the structure. Literature offers several criteria which can be used and optimized to achieve this objective. This software generates Sankey diagrams automatically. The creation includes several steps, each of them focuses on the resolution of a specific optimization problem. The formulation of these is inspired by the article "Optimal Sankey Diagrams via Integer Programming" written by Zarate et al. in 2018. The software includes an implementation of this and several new methods. They are based on solving linear programming optimization problems.
  • Functional Description:

    The software is an online web app that allows manual and automatic sankey diagram plotting. Among the functions these diagrams can be exported in svg or pdf format.

    A Sankey diagram is a type of visualization of flows (of data, physical entities, money, etc.) between sectors (for example, economic sectors). The main entries of the software are a table comprising a description of these sectors and the flows, as well as the flows' volume. The software contains functions that aim at computing an optimal disposition of the flow diagram (position of sectors and flows on the produced chart), according to different possible criteria. For instance, a disposition that minimizes the number of crossings between flows or that contains as horizontal as possible flows.

  • URL:
  • Contact:
    Jean-Yves Courtonne
  • Participants:
    Jean-Yves Courtonne, Julien Alapetite

7.1.2 STA-Explorer

  • Name:
    Socio-Technical Alternatives Explorer
  • Keywords:
    Decision aid, Ecological transition scenarios
  • Functional Description:

    The software is a decision support tool that allows to:

    * Describe an economic model, in different territories with different types of actors, in terms of bio-physical exchanges (to take into account the interactions between sectors, for example the fact that renewable energies consume materials which in turn require energy to be extracted and transformed) * Describe a Socio-Technical Alternative (STA), i.e., an arrival point in the future that is coherent from a biophysical point of view (as opposed to the description of a past situation) * From this description, the software allows the alternative to be evaluated by "reconciling" by optimization the parameters controlling the value of the flows rather than the flows themselves.

  • URL:
  • Contact:
    Jean-Yves Courtonne
  • Participants:
    Jean-Yves Courtonne, Roger Pissard-Gibollet, Thibaut Coudroy

7.1.3 TransKey

  • Keywords:
    Serious game, Flow visualization, Collaborative science
  • Functional Description:
    TransKey is a framework for modeling and serious games for transition support, based on a generic model to support new transition game designs, adapted from previous MFA (material flow analysis) games and goals. The framework is under development. A first playable game has been completed and tested with users. General target features for TransKey are: representing multiple resource stocks and flows, their dynamics, stakeholders’ constraints and control, exogeneous drivers, multi-scale representations, player friendliness, data fitting when required, connecting material and digital version. A general description is given in https://hal.science/hal-04231486.
  • URL:
  • Contact:
    Mathilde Boissier
  • Participants:
    Mathilde Boissier, Nils Ferrand, Roger Pissard-Gibollet, Laurence Boissieux, Thibaut Coudroy, Nicolas Revilla Lopez

7.1.4 EnerKey

  • Keywords:
    Serious game, Flow visualization, Participatory process support
  • Functional Description:
    EnerKey is an implementation of the framework TransKey adapted to a real territory situation. This game has been created to support a dialogue about energy in le PETR du Briançonnais, des Écrins, du Guillestrois et du Queyras. It represents the main stakes of the dialogue with a focus on nexus and energy flows.
  • Contact:
    Mathilde Boissier
  • Participants:
    Marine Valette, Mathilde Boissier, Nils Ferrand, Emmanuel Krieger

7.1.5 Data reconciliation tools

  • Keywords:
    Data reconciliation, Operational research, Constraint Programming
  • Scientific Description:
    Data reconciliation and interval reduction algorithms for MEFA (material and energy flow analyses).
  • Functional Description:
    To facilitate a meaningful comparison, multiple algorithms have been developed. A checker is proposed to ensure that the provided results are well-formed and respect the problem’s constraints. A visualization program is also proposed, along with an algorithm that provides the optimum, to compare the difference with it. A random instance generator has been developed to carry out larger-scale tests. Finally, numerous algorithms have already been described and a benchmark of real instances is offered to establish a preliminary comparison framework.
  • Publications:
  • Contact:
    Peter Sturm
  • Participants:
    Alexandre Borthomieu, Peter Sturm, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Vincent Jost
  • Partners:
    INP Grenoble, CNRS, UGA

8 New results

8.1 Systemic risks: global and local

Participants: Enzo Baquet, Antonin Berthe, Albert Bouffange, Valérie d'Acremont, Serge Fenet, Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Hugo Martin, Emmanuel Prados, Peter Sturm.

The Global Systemic Risks research axis of the team focuses at present on the analysis of the energy/macroeconomics/finance nexus on the one hand (conducted by Pierre-Yves Longaretti and Hugo Martin, in the wake of Louis Delannoy's thesis) and on the feasability of the energy transition on the other (conducted by Pierre-Yves Longaretti and Antonin Berthe). The choice of this topic is driven by the central role of energy in developed countries societies and economies. The specific approach adopted here focuses on critical topics that are not much investigated in the existing literature on the energy transition. Both activities are conducted through the elaboration of dedicated models, see next. We now investigate systemic risks also on local scales, as described in the last two parts of this section.

8.1.1 Evaluation of the robustness of the World3 model and the validity of its conclusions

Participants: Serge Fenet, Pierre-Yves Longaretti.

A scientific collaboration was launched in 2024 between the STEEP team (Pierre-Yves Longaretti and Serge Fenet) and the Tripop team (Arnaud Tonnelier). In this context, Antoine Cordoba began a two-year postdoc contract in the Tripop team in September 2024, and is working to continue the work initiated by Mathilde du Plessix on the iconic World3 model before her thesis was interrupted in 2022. The interest in the model has been revived in the last decade or so, in light of the growing concerns about planetary limits and the impact of human activity on natural systems, and we aim at re-evaluating both the robustness of the model and the validity of its conclusions. During her thesis, Mathilde has performed an extensive analysis of the parameterization choices made by the authors of the model, based on a comprehensive sensitivity analysis made possible by modern computing power. This analysis allowed us to identify the most influential parameters in an objective way. In the continuation of this work, Antoine is working on a fine-grain analysis of the inner dynamics of the model based on the relative importance of its feedback loops, taking over the incomplete work of Mathilde du Plessix on this topic. As the relevance of the model gathers a new importance in the emerging Anthropocene era, the results of this work will be the first comprehensive loop structural dominance analysis of the World3 model, letting us objectively describe the temporal dynamics of the feedback loops linking the variables of interests. The work will next focus on the level of endogeneity of the model.

8.1.2 Feasability of the energy transition

Participants: Antonin Berthe, Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Emmanuel Prados.

Louis Delannoy's thesis showed that the question of peak oil, largely forgotten since the 2008 crisis, needs to be addressed afresh. On the one hand, oil is the most critical of the three fossil fuels, both in terms of its range of uses and of the difficulty of its fast substitutability. On the other hand, oil supply will start to decline considerably by 2030/2040, due to falling energy returns on investment combined with falling gross production, even assuming that untapped resources will be brought on stream as quickly as possible in the future. The question is not about reserves, which are considerable, but about flows. From an economic point of view, the problem posed is whether demand will fall as fast or faster than oil supply, particularly from a long-term growth perspective. Both public discourse and the vast majority of integrated models from the scientific community assume that this is the case under the impact of the energy transition, but this assumption is not self-evident.

The aim of Antonin Berthe's thesis is to quantify the tension dynamics of oil supply and compare it with the possible deployment speed of a transition to electricity, particularly in transport (which accounts for 2/3 of our oil use), in order to assess the possibility of avoiding a long-term global structural macroeconomic crisis. The thesis is in its final stages, as are the articles that form its core.

The main result of the thesis is that a gap between oil demand and supply necessarily arises around 2030 in a BAU scenario in terms of global economic growth where the saturation of the fraction of electric vehicles in the world fleet reaches 25%, and delayed only by a few years (2035-2040) when this saturation level is increased to 50%. These two saturation levels are shown in the thesis to bracket all reasonable expectations on the electric vehicle market share in the future.

8.1.3 CRISIS model

Participants: Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Hugo Martin.

The CRISIS model (Cascading Reactions in Society's Interconnected Systems) is designed to address the role of energy tensions amplified by financial speculation on structural macroeconomic crises. In particular, this model aims at pinpointing the dynamical conditions leading to long term economic decline and its consequences. This work is a direct continuation of the theses of Louis Delannoy and Antonin Berthe in terms of global risks associated to the upcoming oil supply contraction, although the focus shifts from “physical” models to macroeconomic ones.

The model relies on the stock-flow consistent macroeconomic modeling framework, which is a self-consistent approach to macroeconomic dynamics. The framework enforces all macroeconomic identities, while making no specific choices for the behavioral equations characterizing the different sectors of a specific model (banking, production, households, etc). As such the framework accomodates as well orthodox or heterodox economic theories, although it is mostly used by the heterodox post-keynesian school of economic thought.

The model is now in its advanced production stage. A central BAU scenario has been calibrated and simulated, without any tension on resources or any financial speculation. This idealized setting has been used to bracket the relevant domain of variation of the main parameters of the model. The speculation module of the model is now also calibrated. The results of runs performed in presence of speculation are presently analyzed, in particular with the objective to characterize the spectrum of financial market variations on the production sector, from normal, sedate fluctuations to large magnitude crises, and comparison with data on real financial markets behavior. A first article is in its final stages of completion and should be submitted shortly. As an aside, an article has been written on the sensitivity analysis of a simpler but somewhat related macroeconomic dynamical model, as a stepping stone to produce a sensitivity analysis of the much more complex CRISIS model 54.

Dynamical simulations with tensions on energy supply are in a very early stage. This work should be completed and submitted in 2025.

8.1.4 Systemic crisis propagation: study of the health sector

Participants: Enzo Baquet, Valérie d’Acremont, Serge Fenet, Pierre-Yves Longaretti.

In January 2022, Enzo Baquet started a PhD thesis focusing on the analysis of the dynamics of the propagation of intra- and inter-sectoral disruptions in the context of short-term crises (week to year). While this work should ultimately lead to the creation of a generic modeling methodology, it first focuses on the thread given by a particular case study: in the context of civil health infrastructure, how can the impact of an electrical blackout spread to different subcomponents of the health sector, and impact health services. In order to answer to this questions, Enzo spent one year (from september 2023 to september 2024) at the Unisanté center of the University of Lausanne, our partner in this project. He deployed a participatory approach based on semi-directive interviews with several actors of the civil health system and key stakeholders of the Vaud district 41. The goal was to gather caregivers' perceptions of an interruption of electricity supply, the direct and indirect impacts they could identify, their willingness or unwillingness to act, and the actions they might already be taking. Interviewees also explored the role that they would see themselves playing in possible continuity plans that might be put in place by the health sector. Enzo is now processing and analyzing these interviews, in order to: a) interpret the results to identify the most salient weak points and their sequence of occurrence, and then build a representation of the intra- and inter-sector connections that they bring to light; b) propose a sequence of recommendations to be implemented by the sector in order to minimize impacts, or even anticipate them.

8.1.5 Post-growth lessons from real world examples

Participants: Albert Bouffange, Pierre-Yves Longaretti.

How can we understand the specific institutional arrangements of an economy that reduces its material base in a planned/organized way? Crossing the analytical prisms of political economy and social metabolism, this thesis examines a few real historical examples, at macro or meso level, that can highlight the socio-economic rules of the game specific to reducing the environmental footprint, in order to anchor reflections on post-growth and ecological bifurcation. Cuba during the “Special Period” is the first case study of the thesis 36. This is a relatively unique experience of the macro dynamics of the contraction of flows in the economy and the consequent institutional adaptations. The second case study focuses on the disarmament process in France and the partially planned downsizing of the armed forces and the defense industrial base. It provides elements of a meso-scale response to the problems of dismantling economic activities, in an institutional context closer to that of present-day Western societies than Cuba.

On the methodological side, this interdisciplinary thesis builds upon the material flow analysis tools developed in the STEEP team and on the French political science regulation theory for institutional and political analyses. These two approaches are combined to provide unique insights in the thesis case studies. The thesis was started in the Fall of 2022, following an internship on the Cuba case study. The main supervisor is Agnès Labrousse, from the Triangle political science laboratory in Lyon, with P.-Y. Longaretti as co-supervisor.

8.2 Sociotechnical Alternatives

8.2.1 Territorialization of planetary boundaries

Participants: Guillaume Mandil, Gwendoline de Oliveira Neves, Damien Rieutor.

The aim of Damien Rieutor's PhD thesis is to provide a framework for downscaling the concept of planetary boundaries to the territorial level. This concept is an undeniable success of Earth system science. This success has attracted the attention of other scientific fields and sectors, notably public institutions, transforming reflections on local implementation of the concept into a major scientific and societal issue. Numerous attempts to implement the concept on a sub-global scale have raised a number of questions about this approach, and have highlighted the difficulties of operationalizing 'Planetary Limits' locally. These difficulties are due mainly to the dominant approach employed, which seeks above all to spatialize the Planetary Limits framework. The literature review we have carried out in this work examines this approach with regard to the distinction between the framework of Planetary Limits (biophysical dimension, spatial vision) and the concept of Planetary Limits (sociological dimension, territorial vision). Our results show that, by focusing on the biophysical aspects of the framework, it obscures the anthropological objectives of the concept and reduces the importance of the social specificities of the context 72. In this way, we demonstrate the limits of spatializing the framework. It hinders the concept's local operationalization, weakening its appropriation by territorial stakeholders and maintaining inconsistencies between the concept's global essence, its sub-global translation and local socio-biophysical specificities.

To overcome these limitations, this work will propose a method for territorializing the approach used to establish planetary limits at the global level. The main idea is to apply the notion of environmental limit to the satisfaction of a human need in the territory under consideration. The aim of the method will be to identify the bio-physical systems on which the satisfaction of the need depends, and then to identify the state variables that guarantee the stability of these systems.

8.2.2 Analysis of public policies dedicated to building waste

Participants: Jean-Yves Courtonne, Quentin Desvaux, Catherine Figuière, Guillaume Mandil.

Since November 1st, 2020, Quentin Desvaux has been involved in a CIFRE PhD thesis with the STEEP team, the CREG lab and the DPCTD (Direction de la Prévention, de la Collecte et du Traitement des Déchets) of Grenoble Alpes Métropole. The goal is to support the local authority in deploying a waste management strategy for the construction sector that is consistent with the specific features of its territory. This work comprises several activities: analysis of construction waste management and processing channels (based in particular on the team's material flow analysis tools); operational implementation of policy measures; coordination of working groups; perpetuation of the dynamics initiated with the stakeholders involved; restitution, promotion and dissemination of Quentin's work through public institutions. It is a contribution towards the decompartmentalization of the academic and professional sectors. An article was recently published in a special issue of the journal Géographie, Economie, Société30, see also 37. It illustrates how the national Producer-Extended Responsibility policy comes in contradiction with the local zero-waste and circular economy policy on several theoretical and practical dimensions.

8.2.3 Bridging the gap between the Musiasem and the Supply-Use Tables frameworks

Participants: Albert Bouffange, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Jérémie Klein, Emmanuel Krieger, Peter Sturm.

During a winter school organized in Grenoble in December 2023, during which we hosted Mario Giampietro (ICTA, UAB), we observed that Giampietro's Musiasem framework is highly relevant for sustainability analyses, but that the community has not fully embraced it due to its complex conceptualization and challenging vocabulary. We therefore examined how to bridge the gap between Musiasem and the Supply-Use Tables framework, which is commonly used in the field, to enable mutual enrichment of both approaches 32.

8.2.4 Numerical tools for data and parameter reconciliation

Participants: Alexandre Borthomieu, Thibaut Coudroy, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Vincent Jost, Guillaume Mandil, Peter Sturm.

Data reconciliation is an important building block for MFA (material flow analysis) and other problems with a similar structure, such as in chemical plant modeling. The goal is to construct a consistent representation of, for instance, an economic supply chain or a set of processes (production processes, chemical ones, etc.) that are related through flows (of materials, substances, goods, etc.). This representation usually has a graph structure and numerical values to be determined usually concern the volume of the mentioned flows as well as technical coefficients characterizing the processes. These values are determined from data, which are often only partially available, subject to uncertainties, and incoherent. The data reconciliation problem entails the estimation of coherent numerical values from such data, using constraints, such as mass preservation, aggregation constraints, or others that might be available (such as known inequalities between certain values). Data reconciliation can be followed up by an estimation of the values' uncertainty. In our applications, uncertainties are usually represented by uncertainty intervals. The above mentioned constraints often allow to narrow down given uncertainty intervals – we speak of “interval reduction” here.

This year we have developed several methods for interval reduction (PhD thesis of Alexandre Borthomieu). Their development was motivated on the one hand that the gold standard method, consisting of solving many linear programs (2n, n being the number of the problem's variables), is time-consuming, and on the other hand that a previously developed method (MAJLOOP) is very fast but provides sub-optimal results. Sub-optimality is due the fact that this method processes one constraint at a time during its iterative procedure, which prevents it from reducing intervals to their minimal size. We developed several methods that function like MAJLOOP, but which uses linear combinations of constraints in order to improve the result's quality. Various ways were tested to produce appropriate linear combinations, including matrix factorisations and random sampling. These methods were tested on our benchmark datasets; results demonstrate a good compromise between computation time and accuracy.

Alexandre Borthomieu also developed several methods to visualise results of reconciliation methods. They consist in computing appropriate orderings of data-points of a set of graphs, such as to minimise for instance the number of crossings of graphs.

Data reconciliation is used in representing an observed supply chain or other set of interrelated processes. STEEP also aims at developing tools to conceive, model and assess potential socio-technical alternatives (STA's), e.g. for territorial prospective exercises. When modeling STA's, reconciliation problems also appear, but they are of a different nature. The construction of an STA relies on choosing involved processes (such as transformation processes in agro-food chains or industrial production processes) and connect them according to the material or other flows they are related through. Now, for any given type of production, several alternative processes may be available (such as organic and conventional agriculture) and it is natural for a user to think of an STA in terms of relative shares between such alternative processes. Obviously, when defining desired shares for different sets of alternatives processes, the induced flows among all them are in general not coherent. This creates the need of a new reconciliation problem: instead of operating on flow values, it operates on the mentioned relative shares. We speak of parameter reconciliation 94. This year we generalised the original parameter reconciliation formulation. The original formulation uses a linear least squares cost function, i.e. consists of penalising deviations between user-set and reconciled values through the bell-shaped Gaussian function. While this is the default choice and leads to simple solutions for optimisation, intended end-users of our software STA-Explorer (section 7.1.2) might find it more intuitive to define other ways of penalising deviations (such as box-functions or triangular ones). These in turn give rise to cost functions for the reconciliation problem that are no longer of linear least squares type and that require, for instance, to solve linear or non-linear programs. These results are yet to be published.

8.2.5 Energy flow analysis for the Briançonnais area

Participants: Mathilde Boissier, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Nils Ferrand, Emmanuel Krieger, Peter Sturm.

Modelling work was carried out by Emmanuel Krieger, a PhD student in the team, to represent the energy flow diagrams of the PETR of Briançonnais, Écrins and Guillestrois-Queyras, in order to support the debates in a concertation process on the territory's energy policy (see section 8.2.7). The aim is twofold: for the inhabitants of the territory, it is to provide information on how it operates in order to inform the decisions, and for our team, it is to test the use of these diagrams and to combine them with an approach based on socio-metabolic vulnerabilities, i.e. vulnerabilities arising from the territory's specific way of operating.

As a first step, two workshops were organised at the beginning of December 2024 with about ten inhabitants to carry out an initial assessment of these diagrams. A diagnosis was then presented to around forty citizens and stakeholders as part of the concertation process. Further workshops will be held in the first half of 2025 to refine the scientific conclusions related to the use of these diagrams and the socio-metabolic vulnerability approach.

Most of the diagrams have been constructed using open data. However, these data do not cover all the energy-related issues identified for this territory, so modelling was carried out to quantify the missing parts. These include electricity imports and exports, the disaggregation of sectoral energy uses, the breakdown of final energy into useful energy, the allocation of energy to different categories of users, and the energy used by tourists to enter and leave the territory. These models have been produced in various ways: by generalisation from sub-regional data, by down-scaling from national data, through harmonisation by making data comparable, etc. All the data produced in this way were then reconciled with the open data already collected to produce the energy flow diagrams 58. Figure 5 shows an example of a diagram produced this way.

Figure 5

Energy flow diagram for the Briançonnais area

Figure 5: Energy flow diagram for the Briançonnais area. Shown here are the local production, imports and exports for the year 2021. The unit is GWh.

8.2.6 Serious games for the exploration and analysis of sociotechnical alternatives

Participants: Mathilde Boissier, Thibaut Coudroy, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Serge Fenet, Nils Ferrand, Vincent Jost, Emmanuel Krieger, Sam Mellier, Roger Pissard, Nicolas Revilla Lopez, Peter Sturm, Marine Valette.

Accounting in biophysical flows is one grid of analysis providing insights on the sustainability of socio-technical alternatives. These tools are indeed relevant to highlight systemic effects (interdisciplinary understandings, spatial and temporal scales) on resources and important pressures to consider for the transformation of territories. Yet, this biophysical flow vision remains for expert use only, whereas one of the challenges of transition territories is to involve the populations in participatory processes. Among diverse participatory tools, serious games have long since proven their ability to sensitize to sustainability issues, facilitate learning and support changes. We aim to develop several games to play with material and energy flows while discussing the futur of their territories. This involves every stage of modeling (capturing reality into a biophysical and governance model, making this model simple enough to be played with, and bring back this model into the real world to collectively transform a territory's organization), game design as well as lab and field experiments. After developing two simple games in 2022 (see last year's report), we have designed a modeling framework – TransKey – based on social metabolism. Software implementation of a TransKey simulation platform has started last year and has continued this year, through the internship of Thibaut Coudroy (see Section 7.1.3 and 56, 55), with the support of Roger Pissard and Laurence Boissieux from the Inria Grenoble SED service. After the analysis of the experimental qualitative data gathered on the first version of a single-user game (see last year's report), a new version of the game has been developed. This version is multiplayer and already implements all the scientific objectives expected in the design. This version can be played either as a material board or as a video game. It has been tested and is expected to lead to publication in 2025. See figure 6 for illustrations.

The internship of Sam Mellier allowed to establish a state of the art review on the calibration of (serious) games and to make proposals for such calibration approaches 35, 59, 60

Figure 6.a
Figure 6.b
Figure 6.c

Top: Screenshots of the first and current versions (single-player and multi-player respectively) of the game developed based on the TransKey framework. Bottom: the tabletop version of the multi-player game.

Top: Screenshots of the first and current versions (single-player and multi-player respectively) of the game developed based on the TransKey framework. Bottom: the tabletop version of the multi-player game.

Figure 6: Top: Screenshots of the first and current versions (single-player and multi-player respectively) of the game developed based on the TransKey framework. Bottom: the tabletop version of the multi-player game.

8.2.7 Participatory exercises in territories

Participants: Mathilde Boissier, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Nils Ferrand, Emmanuel Krieger, Peter Sturm, Marine Valette.

Since about 2021, we have started to work towards the creation of participatory exercises, to assist in the face of transition challenges in territories. See 85, 57 for a brief overview of our philosophy. We have been working on two territories, as follows.

The first project is the PETR du Grand Briançonnais (Pôle d'Equilibre Territorial et Rural – Briançonnais, Ecrins et Guillestrois Queyras), a so-called intercommunalité (grouping of 3 communautés de communes, comprising a total of 36 municipalities), located in the French Alps. This territory experiences recurring conflicts around the construction of hydroelectric power stations in mountain rivers, usually opposing energy producers, elected officials and NGO’s dedicated to nature preservation. On this background, the presidency of the PETR launched the initiative of a territory-wide participatory process, to be steered by STEEP and Nils Ferrand’s group at INRAE, covering the issues of energy, biodiversity, water, and territorial development. The year 2022 had seen the launch of the project with individual interviews and first meetings to better understand the territorial context and initiate the participatory process. Simple Sankey diagrams illustrating energy flows on the territory (created using the software described in Section 7.1.1) had also been put to the test. In 2023, procedural work has been conducted to formalize the project, helping the PETR to get funding from the Banque des Territoires (granted in the end of 2023). We have also conducted workshops to make stakeholders organize the participation (PrePAR approach), which ended up into a step and actions plan, as well as a governance for the process to support. 2024 has seen the real takeoff of this project. Indeed, with the unlocking of the Banque des Territoires funding, a project manager has been recruited by the PETR to animate and manage the project. A steering committee, a scientific committee as well as a citizen panel have been formed. A training ans sensitizing phase, aimed at everyone on the territory, has been lead with workshops about participation, water, energy, with a conference about climate change impacts for mountain territories, webinars about several other subjects, and a field trip. A detailed diagnosis about energy flows has also been conducted with first workshops to evaluate their impact. This work has been realised by Emmanuel Krieger, as part of his phd. Other diagnosis (socio-economic, biodiversity for example) have also been realised in a lighter way by a group of students from the master TEET (ENSE3). To complete this diagnostic, a participatory observatory has been launched to encourage anyone living in the territory to report some knowledge needs or important information for the following of the dialogue. A new game, EnerKey, has also been created (as part of Marine Valette's internship), see section 7.1.4. Based on TransKey, this game gathers the territory's stakes in this dialogue and brings people to play with complexity and resource nexus to understand better the situation, realize its complexity and start building options to implement. The tests have been realised and the game is ready to be widely played in 2025. Finally, 2024 has been a year of meeting with elected officials and institution to keep working on the legitimacy of this process and ensure its continuation. 2025 is supposed to end up the process with different steps : get several people playing EnerKey, discuss the territory's orientations, build an action plan and implement it. In a scientific perspective, 2025 is also supposed to bring scientific valuation with different articles expected (about the impact of energy flow modeling in the dialogue process, about the game EnerKey, about the process in its entirety).

Figure 7

The territory of the PETR du Grand Briançonnais (Pôle d'Equilibre Territorial et Rural – Briançonnais, Ecrins et Guillestrois Queyras).

Figure 7: The territory of the PETR du Grand Briançonnais (Pôle d'Equilibre Territorial et Rural – Briançonnais, Ecrins et Guillestrois Queyras).

The second territory is the greater Grenoble area and the perimeter of the programmed participative process is the establishment of an interterritorial food plan (Projet Alimentaire inter-Territorial (PAiT) de la grande région Grenobloise). Within the Scalable project (see Section 9.3.2), STEEP has been involved both in quantitative/analytical modeling and in the development of a participative approach 25, 51, 52.

8.2.8 Participatory reasearch on energy sufficiency

Participants: Mathilde Boissier.

Launched thanks to a IRGA exploratory funding, it involves 4 researchers from different disciplines (energy modeling, spatial planning, participatory research). This project aims at exploring how to discuss energy sufficiency collectively in the society. It also aims at documenting about interdisciplinary research work , with a reflective dimension about academic research. 2024 has been the beginning of the project with and analysis of the literature and sharing knowledge and methods between the members. A first workshop has been built and tested three times (with students and through the PETR du Briançonnais project, see section 8.2.7) to make participants consider collective sufficiency. 2025 is the last year of this exploration and should involve a synthesis document, 6 months internship on this subject and the application to further funding.

8.2.9 Modeling human resources in the health sector

Participants: Hannah Gelblat, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Valérie d'Acremont.

This project is based on the ongoing PhD thesis of Hannah Gelblat in Humanities and Social Sciences of Medicine and Health at the University of Lausanne, under the supervision of Pr. Valérie d'Acremont. The aim is to determine, for two contrasted scenarios, how many people with what type of training would be involved to care for communities and ensure a fair access to healthcare in Switzerland. Our model will represent contrasted scenarios for the Swiss health system - a “business-as-usual” scenario and an “alternative” scenario. With this approach, we hope to allow an informed arbitration between several organizational choices, thanks to a transparent representation of their resource requirements and a qualification of their potential benefits and limitations. The suggested system changes have been identified in the literature: WHO recommendations, experts’ insights or other countries’ practices. The alternative scenario will show a health system focused on health promotion and prevention, task-shifting from physician to non-physician health workers and transfer of efforts from hospitals to ambulatory care. Model parameters are selected based on their potential to address either of the following key global challenges faced by health systems:

  1. Shortages of health professionals: the World Health Organization announces a “ticking timebomb”, saying that “without immediate action, health and care workforce gaps in the European Region could spell disaster” (World Health Organization, 2022)
  2. Increase in health care needs due to ageing of the population and chronic disease increases;
  3. Lack of access to primary care due to system organization;
  4. Planetary global context - we intend to conceive new alternatives within a ‘post-transition’ perspective, considering the impact of environmental changes on health and the associated global risks brought by dependence on energy and pharmaceuticals.

The metastructure of our model is shown on Fig 8. The system organization is viewed as a key to determine both the sustainability of provision of human resources needed and the satisfaction of care needs of the population.

For this work, we rely on the social metabolism paradigm 89. This approach is inspired by the metabolism of living organisms: it compares the inputs into a system, the different elements within the system and the benefits provided by the system to the organism which it is part of. In social metabolism, we apply the same approach to a human activity sector by looking at physical resources and by describing the inputs of the sector, how it functions, and the benefits it provides. Our application of this approach on the health system is shown on fig 9. We draw inspiration from the flagship method in the field: material flow analysis (however accounting for working hours instead of mater or energy). Quantitative implementation of the model generally relies on data reconciliation 77 and, in our case, we will specifically utilize dynamic material flow analysis calculations to simulate the evolution of flows and stocks over time 99. The following parameters are to be tested in the model in order to improve health coverage and the sustainability of human resources provision:

  • Effect of prevention and promotion on the prevalence of certain diseases or healthcare needs,
  • Transfer of the efforts and of human resources from hospitals to ambulatory care, especially primary care centers (following the example of Nordic countries),
  • Transfer of more responsibilities from physicians to non-physicians,
  • Adjustment of working time (for physicians and non-physicians) and effect on job satisfaction and quality of care,
  • Testing different degree of proximity of care centers in urban areas and different skill-mixes.
Figure 8

The 3 building-blocks of our health-sector model: human resources needs and sustainability of provision, health system organizational choices, and population needs satisfaction. Source: Hannah Gelblat.

Figure 8: The 3 building-blocks of our health-sector model. Source: Hannah Gelblat.
Figure 9

Illustration of the metabolism of the health sector: health professionals and places are “inputs”, prevention, health promotion, health care and other services, are “outputs”. Source: Hannah Gelblat

Figure 9: Illustration of the metabolism of the health sector. Source: Hannah Gelblat.

8.2.10 Exploring trade-offs in the relocalization of productive acitivities

Participants: Léon Fauste, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Mathieu Mangeot, Christine Solnon.

Léon Fauste started his PhD in oct. 2021 and took a "gap year" in school year 2023-2024 to study geography. The original motivation of his work was to explore how the optimization framework proposed by 93 could be combined with the social metabolism approaches developped in the STEEP team in order to highlight trade-offs in the relocalization of productive activities. In other words, the aims is to inform the public debate on the following question: for a given activity, to what extend and on which dimensions is relocalization beneficial or detrimental, and for who? Until now, Léon lead his research in three direction. First, he conducted an interdisciplinary litterature review to identify and link the diffent concepts associated to to idea of organizational scale. Core concepts (globalization, proximity, territory, delocalization and relocalization) as well as characterizing concepts (dependency, self-sufficiency, supply or production basin, economy of scale, economic integration, concentration and decentralization, specialization and diversification, short supply chains, territorialization, connectivity and localness) were thusly identified. Second, Léon questioned the identity between indexes of concentration of indexes of specialization from three different perspectives: a mathematical angle, a simulation angle and a historical data analysis angle (with databases on agriculture, energy and on international economic activity tables). He concludes that while the indexes are correlated, there are cases where concentration and specialization are not (or not completely) congruent, emphasizing the need for a more rigorous distinction in the litterature. Finally, Léon is finishing a toy model showing how trade-offs between self-sufficiency, satisfaction of local needs and environmental footprints can be explored with constrained optimization. The case study is agriculture and relies on previous data gathered by the team. These three works are planed to be submitted in international journals in 2025.

8.2.11 Reconfiguration of Cuba's metabolism after the collapse of the Soviet Union

Participants: Jérémie Klein, Albert Bouffange, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Renaud Metereau, Guillaume Mandil.

It is rare for a country's economy to suffer a sharp contraction in its supplies of raw materials essential to its metabolic functioning. One of the rare cases in history is Cuba in the 1990s. After the collapse of the USSR in 1991, which was Cuba's main trading partner, the island saw its imports of several raw materials plummet. Major changes were made to cope with this shock: this period is known as the “special period”. To study the metabolism of the territory during this period, data from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nation, the International Energy Agency, scientific and grey literature were collected. Then, using the data reconciliation tools of the team, analyses of material and energy flows enabled us to take a closer look at the Cuban metabolism before and after the collapse of the USSR 34.

9 Partnerships and cooperations

9.1 International initiatives

9.1.1 Participation in other International Programs

Serge Fenet is involved in a collaboration with the University of Lausanne (UNIL), Department of Ecology and Evolution (Jérôme Gippet) and the University of Düsseldorf (Mathematics and Natural Sciences faculty, Computational Cell Biology Group) (Charles Rocabert), working on the development of the MoRIS model of propagation of invasive species 27.

9.2 International research visitors

9.2.1 Visits of international scientists

Other international visits to the team
Jacques Lolive
  • Status:
    Researcher
  • Institution of origin:
    CNRS, on detachment in Brazil
  • Country:
    Brazil
  • Dates:
    1 April 2024 – 30 June 2024
  • Context of the visit:
    Dr. Lolive and Dr. Okamura (see below) spent these three months to visit various labs and public institutions in Europe. STEEP and the PACTE lab in Grenoble were their “home-base”, where they spent about half of their time in Europe. During their stay at STEEP, we exchanged on our respective works on public policy support and implementation, through several joint seminars and working groups.
  • Mobility program/type of mobility:
    Research stay and search for collaborations
Cintia Okamura
  • Status:
    Public servant
  • Institution of origin:
    CETESB, Companhia Ambiental do Estado de São Paulo (São Paulo State Environmental Agency)
  • Country:
    Brazil
  • Dates:
    1 April 2024 – 30 June 2024
  • Context of the visit:
    See above (Jacques Lolive)
  • Mobility program/type of mobility:
    Research stay and search for collaborations

9.2.2 Visits to international teams

In February 2024, Jean-Yves Courtonne (STEEP team) and Claudia Binder (HERUS team, EPFL) organized a two-days seminar in EPFL in order for the teams to meet and discuss potential subjects of collaboration. Presentations and discussions were organized in 3 sessions: (i) Tipping points, systemic risks and resilience, (ii) Transdisciplinarity, participation and games, (iii) Material Flow Analysis (MFA) and coupling MFA with other methods. The seminar gathered 6 permanent researchers of the STEEP team (including Nils Ferrand) and about 10 researchers, postdocs and Phd students from the HERUS team. Possible student exchanges were discussed but have not begun so far. However, for her expertise on social metabolism and on the links between quantitative assessments and social sciences, Claudia Binder was asked to be a member of the thesis committee of Hannah Gelblat.

9.3 National initiatives

9.3.1 LINDDA – Living INfrastructure to Design responsible Digital technology for Agroecological transition

Participants: Mathilde Boissier, Thibaut Coudroy, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Nils Ferrand, Emmanuel Krieger, Guillaume Mandil, Peter Sturm.

Project funded by the PEPR program “Agroecology and ICT”

Duration: 2022-2027 (5 years)

Coordinator: Muriel Mambrini (Learning Planet Institute), Peter Sturm for Inria partner.

Partners:Learning Planet Institute, CY School of Design, STEEP, Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, ITAP/Inrae, G-EAU/Inrae.

Keywords: agroecology, design, transition, participation.

Abstract: The project is part of a program on Agroecology and ICT. It subtends our work on participation in the STA axis (Section 3.2) and provides the opportunity to collaborate with experts in Design (for games, interfaces, intermediation). Further, the project will give us access to student groups for field work.

9.3.2 SCALABLE – Metabolism of agricultural biomass: multi-scale representations, vulnerability analysis and evaluation by local stakeholders

Participants: Mathilde Boissier, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Nils Ferrand, Sophie Madelrieux, Guillaume Mandil.

Project funded by ADEME

Duration: 2021-2024 (36 months)

Coordinator: Sophie Madelrieux (Inrae Grenoble), Jean-Yves Courtonne for Inria partner.

Partners: LESSEM (Inrae Grenoble), Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes Énergie Environnement, TerriFlux, Parc Naturel Régional de Chartreuse, STEEP (Inria Grenoble).

Keywords: agriculture value chains, multi-scale analysis, multicriteria analysis, vulnerabilities, participative evaluation.

Abstract: SCALABLE focuses on agricultural biomass, on the different transformation steps (supply chain) from production to consumption, at several geographical scales (national, regional, local). The projects aims at improving knowledge on material and organizational vulnerabilities of territories with respect to these supply chains: to what extent are the needs of the local population satisfied in a sustainable way, and without transferring vulnerabilities to other territories? This work will be conducted by coupling an analytical approach (use of descriptive models) with a deliberative approach (evaluation by local stakeholders). It will also lay a basis for assessing the relevant scales of relocation of the different sectors of the value chains. The work at the national level with agricultural technical institutes resulted in two communications 33, 38 presenting the methodology, the multi-stakeholder working process, and a proposed analytical framework for interpreting flow diagrams (food sovereignty, competition for resource use and bioeconomy, consumption patterns).

9.3.3 BACCFIRE

Participants: Jean-Yves Courtonne.

Project funded by Ademe

Duration: 2022-2024

Partners: ONF, FCBA, INRAE, IGN and TerriFlux.

Keywords: Forestry and timber sector, storage, sequestration, substitution, material flow analysis, life cycle analysis.

Abstract: The goal is to better assess what role the forest-wood supply chain can play for climate mitigation.

9.3.4 SOCLE

Participants: Jean-Yves Courtonne.

Project funded by Ademe

Duration: Dec. 2024 - Nov. 2027

Partners: INRIA, INRAE, TerriFlux, Le Basic, IDELE, CTIFL, IFCE.

Keywords: Agri-food sectors, Material Flows, Footprints, Employment, Co-design

Abstract:The development of the bioeconomy raises questions about the competition for the use of agricultural resources, which must meet food (human and animal), energy, and material needs. Furthermore, the observation of planetary boundaries being exceeded makes it urgent to precisely identify the causes of environmental impacts, which can be difficult to disentangle due to globalized production-distribution networks. Beyond these environmental issues, French agriculture must today address economic and social challenges to renew itself and meet consumer demands. At the intersection of all these concerns, the SOCLE project aims to improve knowledge of the biophysical structure of agricultural product flow networks in France and abroad, as well as their environmental impacts and employment implications. To this end, it brings together research partners, supply chain stakeholders, and two consulting firms.

The primary scientific objective of the project is to provide, for a recent year, a database describing:

  • National and international flows of agricultural products, leveraging the highly detailed knowledge of a Flow Reference Framework that has been updated and expanded to describe French industries,
  • The environmental pressures exerted by French industries in terms of energy, nitrogen, land use, and blue water (irrigation) use with a footprint perspective, i.e., focusing not only on what happens within French territory but also in the supplying countries,
  • The direct and indirect employment linked to French industries.

From an operational standpoint, the project aims to enrich discussions on sectoral strategies that simultaneously consider planetary boundaries, international dependencies, and social and economic realities. Collaboration with industry stakeholders is planned throughout the project.

9.3.5 Research collaboration agreement with the PETR du Briançonnais

Participants: Mathilde Boissier, Nils Ferrand, Emmanuel Krieger, Peter Sturm, Marine Valette.

Duration: Dec. 2023 - Dec. 2025

Partners: Inria and Pôle d'Équilibre Territorial et Rural du Briançonnais, du Pays des Écrins, du Guillestrois et du Queyras.

Abstract: This bilateral collaboration agreement formalises and finances the activities described in section 9.4.1.

9.4 Public policy support

9.4.1 Supporting the dialogue on energy, PETR du Grand Briançonnais

Noting the difficulties in reconciling the Climate and Energy Plan (PCAET), the expectations of environmentalists and the management of local authorities, the President of the Pôle d'Équilibre Territorial et Rural du Briançonnais, du Pays des Écrins, du Guillestrois et du Queyras (PETR) asked the INRIA STEEP and INRAE G-EAU teams to set up and coordinate a research-intervention to support the territorial stakeholders (see the associated website). The aim of this dialogue is to define the region's energy policy, considering resource management and environmental impacts, while involving stakeholders throughout the process: in the construction of a participation plan and its implementation, including participatory modeling and the creation of an action plan to be implemented in the future. This collaboration involves a number of challenges, such as a joint search for funding, the mobilization of citizens and the decision-making nature of the process, as well as the scientific production (on the mobilization of biophysical accounting on territories) associated with the project (see 8 for further details). Following the researchers' support of the PETR's application to a funding from the Banque des Territoires, a convention between INRIA and the PETR has been signed to formalize this partnership both institutionally and financially (see section 9.3.5).

9.4.2 Contribution to the local food plan of the Grenoble area

As part of the SCALABLE project, the meat, dairy and cereal supply chains were studied based on extensive stakeholders (transforming industries) interviews and data analyses. Results were presented and discussed during two workshops. More generally, the SCALABLE project (which ended in Dec. 2024) was presented to the technical committee of the Pait (local food plan). See section 8.2.7 for more details.

9.4.3 Supporting the building waste policy of Grenoble Alpes Métropole

Quentin Desvaux is currently finishing his CIFRE PhD thesis in partnership with Grenoble Alpes Métropole. He was involved in the organization and animation of several workshops gathering stakeholders from public and private backgrounds and aiming at understanding concrete lock-ins for increasing building waste reuse. See section 8.2.2 for more details.

9.4.4 Local Risk Report for the Grenoble Metropolitan Area

The local authorities of Grenoble and adjacent territories2 have launched a long-term initiative entitled l'Atelier des Futurs. Its goal is to reconsider public action with regard to the complexity of current and coming issues (social, economic, environmental) and often contradictory injunctions between the urgencies of the short term and the uncertainties of the long term. To be able to better understand the changes linked to the climate and social degradations, and the associated public action methods, to share knowledge and experiences: these are the expectations expressed by elected officials faced with the complexity of territorial issues. STEEP was the first academic partner to join the initiative and sign (through Inria) its charter. We are particularly interested in aspects related to territorial prospective, participation, and risk analysis which are at the heart of the initiative.

The first concrete action launched within l'Atelier des Futurs is concerned with the creation of a “Local Risk Report” for the area (about 500,000 inhabitants), nicknamed RARRe (Rapport annuel sur les risques et la résilience dans la région Grenobloise). STEEP has been involved since the beginning in 2022, to provide scientific and general expertise. The idea of this action is to identify vulnerabilities and especially, systemic links between them, as well as attenuation or preparation measures, in order to inform public policies. The report is planned to appear on an annual basis. The methodology used is inspired by the Davos Economic Forum's annual Global Risks report. Our Systemic Risk Fresco (see Section 10.3.4) was used, among other approaches, to fuel preparatory discussions.

Figure 10

Overview of the 6 families of risks identified in the l'Atelier des Futurs initiative.

Figure 10: Overview of the 6 families of risks identified in the l'Atelier des Futurs initiative.

In 2023, 44 risks were identified as relevant to the Grenoble area. They are grouped into 6 thematic families (see Figure 10):

  • Climate change, pollution, ecosystem collapse and natural or technological disasters
  • (Un) availability of ressources and (dys) functioning of networks
  • Economic activities
  • (In) ability to act, anticipate and transform
  • (In) capacity to respond to social needs
  • Social cohesion

A questionnaire was created, tested, and then submitted to four panels of stakeholders (elected officials, citizens, business owners, local development councils). The goal was to understand how these risks are perceived by the population, in terms of gravity, likelihood (or being already in existence), possibility to act against them, the effect of actions already in place, the differentiation between local and global impacts of risks, etc.

The first edition of the RARRe was published in 2024. It contains a description and documentation of the above-mentioned risks and an analysis of the responses of the poll carried out based on the above questionnaire. The report was presented at the following occasions:

  • A preliminary version was presented on 6 February 2024 to a forum of elected officials of the Grenoble area and directors of territorial agencies or services.
  • The official release of the report was made on 10 April 2024, at the occasion of a special event open to the general public.
  • We also presented the initiative to Sophie Heading, Global Risks Lead at the World Economic Forum and coordinator of the World Economic Forum's annual Global Risks Reports. According to her feedback, ours is the first local initiative worldwide of this type.
  • The RARRe was presented, together with a serious game on risks, in a half-day session at the 2024 Archipel conference in Lyon, 16 april 2024.

10 Dissemination

10.1 Promoting scientific activities

10.1.1 Scientific events: organisation

Journées Scientifiques Inria.

Participants: Peter Sturm.

Peter Sturm was scientific chair and part of the organizing committee of the annual Inria Science Days (Journées Scientifiques Inria), held at Inria's premises in Montbonnot in August 2024.

Workshop on Modeling for change – A science & public policy challenge.

Participants: Mathilde Boissier, Nils Ferrand.

The Modeling for change workshop, was organized by Nils Ferrand (INRAE and STEEP), Mathilde Boissier (STEEP) and Olivier Barreteau (INRAE and UNESCO ICIREWARD Centre). It took place from November 13 to 15 in Montpellier. The workshop brought together 44 participants from 17 countries (21 women, 23 men), and also hosted a dozen videoconference presentations. It benefited from a high degree of diversity among the participants, both geographically (although the majority came from Europe, Africa, Latin America and Australia were also represented), in terms of profile (research, agencies and local authorities, industry, European Commission) and in terms of scientific or engineering specialties.

The workshop provided an opportunity to cross-fertilize views and practices between science and public policy, and in particular to explore the links between policy design (at European level in particular), its translation and implementation at different territorial levels, and scientific research. This cross-fertilization was supported by the choice of a variety of formats for the different sessions: long and short presentations, posters, demos, and workshops for exchange and reflection. At the heart of the discussions were the notions of model, modeling (as a process), participation and change. Participants were able to share their experiences, contributions and expectations on these subjects, giving rise to rich reflections, both pragmatic and epistemic.

Archipel 2024 Conference.

Participants: Serge Fenet, Emmanuel Prados, Sophie Wahnich.

Sophie Wahnich and Serge Fenet participated in the co-organisation of the second edition of the Archipel conference, which took place from April 15 to 18, 2024 in Lyon (INSA). They were part of the Program Committee (which was also accompanied by Emmanuel Prados as a member of the Conference Program Committee of Archipel'2022). STEEP has organized the first edition of these conférences, Archipel 2022 conference in Grenoble. This conference on «Systemic risks, trajectories and levers for action» was a first step to constitute a transdisciplinary scientific collective that will allow the emergence of questions, salient points, frameworks of thought, methods and tools to deal with systemic risks, and more globally with the future of our societies. It initiated a collaborative workgroup aiming at:

  • bringing together a community of scientists from diverse backgrounds, adopting shared systemic approaches to global issues;
  • starting to co-develop and consolidate frameworks of thought, knowledge and methodologies on global systemic risks, their assessment, and their mitigation;
  • making concrete progress in the production and dissemination of knowledge.

An intermediate working day has also been co-organized by STEEP and INSA collegues in Lyon in spring 2023.

The “Archipel” research community now brings together almost 300 researchers from a wide range of backgrounds and fields, as well as members of civil society, to address the challenges of the Anthropocene (planetary limits, systemic risks, levers for action). The STEEP team remains closely involved in this community as it organizes the events scheduled for 2025 and 2026.

Research group "Contremodélisation".

Participants: Enzo Baquet, Mathilde Boissier, Serge Fenet, Emmanuel Krieger, Guillaume Mandil.

Created during the conference Archipel 2022, the group Contremodélisation focuses on reflective and critical view on models and modeling. Around 15 researchers meet up once a month (around 20 times since the group creation) to collectively open up a critical and constructive space for questioning a model’s life cycle in its entirety (order, context and design choices, use and impacts), right up to the very relevance of modeling. This group provides an opportunity to share practices and analysis grids in order to build an inter- and trans-disciplinary framework for putting modeling to the test. Finally, the aim is to involve the modeling community and society in this critical work through practical, training and teaching activities. In 2024, a first version of a reflective framework has been proposed and presented to the conference Archipel 2024. This grid is meant to evolve while the group continues.

Brainstorming workshop at the Future Earth conference, Lille.

Participants: Serge Fenet.

Serge Fenet co-organised with Emmanuel Ferrand (Institut Mathématique de Jussieu), Alexandre Gondran (École Nationale d'Aviation Civile), Jean-Michel Hupé (FRAMESPA) and Florence Jany-Catrice (Université de Lille) at the Future Earth conference (Lille, October 2024) a brainstorming world café whose title was "Pour en finir avec l'Œconomie: strategy workshop to counter the hegemonic discourse that justify the continuation of ecological devastation". We used strategic thinking tools to define general and intermediate objectives, targets, allies, etc. This workshop, which also took place at the Archipel 2024 conference, enabled us to create a working group to support this initiative over the long term.

Session at the Jeux et enjeux conference.

Participants: Mathilde Boissier.

Mathilde Boissier organised a game session in the conference Jeux et Enjeux (Montpellier, June 2024). This conference brings together researchers involving games in their practice and innovating on this tool. This session has been an opportunity to present the game TransKey, and let experts try it. In addition to this session, this conference was also an opportunity for Sam Mellier (internship) to present his work on calibrating serious games 35, receiving a strong interest from the community.

Session on the Grenoble Risk Report at the Archipel 2024 conference.

Participants: Peter Sturm.

Peter Sturm, together with Gabriel Jourdan and Anne Pottecher (Agence d'Urbanisme de la Région Grenobloise) and Yatina Calixte (PACTE laboratory, UGA), organised and animated a half-day session on the Grenoble Risk Report at the 2024 Archipel conference in Lyon, 16 april 2024. More details on this Risk Report are given in section 9.4.4. The session allowed to present the philosophy of the report, the methodology used for its creation, and a selection of results. It also comprised a serious game session around the perception of risks.

10.1.2 Journal

Reviewer - reviewing activities
  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti is reviewer for various sustainability science journals

10.1.3 Invited talks

  • Peter Sturm gave a keynote presentation at the European Conference on Cognitive Ergonomics (ECCE), Paris, October 2024: Designing and assessing sociotechnical alternatives: toward participatory approaches.
  • Peter Sturm gave an invited presentation at the Half-century of Structure-from-Motion workshop held with ECCV, Milan, Italy, September 2024: A historical review of SfM (Structure-from-Motion) – 300 years and counting.
  • Sophie Wahnich gave a keynote presentation at the Fourth Venice World Multidisciplinary Conference on Republics and Republicanism, Venice, Italy, May 2024: Republican Repair of a Burnt-Out and Brutalized Post-War Society: The Case of the French Revolution.
  • Sophie Wahnich gave an invited talk at the symposium La modélisation de trajectoires à l’échelle globale, organised by AFD (Agence Française de Développement), 10 September 2024: La pertinence actuelle du rapport Meadows depuis une perspective socio-politique.
  • Sophie Wahnich gave an invited talk at the symposium (Penser le plébéianisme), organised by CEVIPOF (Institut d’études politiques de Paris), Université Ca’ Foscari of Venice and UPenn, 19 September 2024: La révolution française a-t-elle été populiste ?
  • Sophie Wahnich gave an invited talk (co-authored with Aude Laprand, Thomas Legon, Yamina Saheb, Odin Marc, and Kevin Jean) at the symposium of the Labos1.5 network, November 2024: Penser les politiques de prospective environnementale.
  • Serge Fenet gave an invited talk at the Institut rhônalpin des systèmes complexes, November 2024: World3 et l'utilisation des modèles mathématiques pour la discussion sur le futur.

10.1.4 Scientific expertise

  • Formation à la transition écologique. Pierre-Yves Longaretti is member of the Rhône-Alpes scientific committee in charge of organizing training courses for all French public service executives, an initiative of the French government. Jean-Yves Courtonne and Pierre-Yves Longaretti are part of the team of scientists who will be giving these training courses, which should cover at a basic level a panel of environmental issues, with a focus on climate change, resources and biodiversity.
  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti is coordinator of the scientific committee of the Idée project (Innovation et Développement pour une Economie Environnementale, Grand Annecy)
  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti was heard by the French President Commission on the impacts of digital technologies, on indirect and systemic impacts (February 2024)
  • Emmanuel Prados is a member of the Climate and Transition Scientific Committee of the Grenoble metropolitan area ('Conseil scientifique Climat et transition de' Grenoble Alpes Métropole).
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne is a member of the Steering Committee (COPIL) of the Terristory consortium.
  • Guillaume Mandil is member of the scientific committe of the Parc Naturel Régional de Chartreuse since September 2020.
  • Peter Sturm is member of the Steering Committee (COTECH) of Atelier des Futurs (see section 9.4.4).
  • Guillaume Mandil is part of a group, at UGA, of trainers in charge of the training of teachers on the topic of systemic écological transition.

10.1.5 Research administration

  • Nils Ferrand is member of the steering group of the Projet Prioritaire International Forêts, INRAE.
  • Emmanuel Prados and Guillaume Mandil are members of the Campus D'Après initiative: a cross-disciplinary collective of academic researchers of the grenoble area who share a common goal: to better understand and reduce the direct and indirect environmental impact of research.
  • Peter Sturm is member of the direction of Laboratoire Jean Kuntzmann since 2023.
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne represents Inria at the Council of UFR IM2AG (Teaching Department Informatique, mathématiques et mathématiques appliquées of Université Grenoble Alpes).

10.2 Teaching - Supervision - Juries

10.2.1 Teaching

  • Guillaume Mandil has regular teaching duties at the university employing him (UGA). Since 2020 all his teaching duties deal with socio-ecological issues and are taught to students from L1 to PhD level. These courses are offered both in disciplinary fields and as part of cross-disciplinary programs.
  • Mathilde Boissier, Jean-Yes Courtonne , Guillaume Mandil, Emmanuel Prados: 18 hours of courses for Master 1 students (master Transitions écologiques, Sciences Po Grenoble).
  • Mathilde Boissier: Ingénierie de la transition", 24h, ENSE3, Grenoble.
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne, Serge Fenet, Guillaume Mandil, Emmanuel Prados, and Peter Sturm: Les véritables enjeux environnementaux – compréhension, modélisations et outils quantitatifs, 30 hours, course plus project work, Master course, Ecole Centrale de Marseille.
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne, Serge Fenet, Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Guillaume Mandil, Emmanuel Prados, and Peter Sturm: Les véritables enjeux environnementaux – compréhension, modélisations et outils quantitatifs, 24 hours course plus project work, MSTII Graduate School and L3 Computer science, UGA.
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne, Guillaume Mandil: Science, Environnement, Société, Doctoral School (CED) UGA.
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne : modélisation quantitative et analyse de flux de matière, 10 hours of tutoring for Master 1 students, IDDAT (IUGA, UGA).
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne: intérêts composés et croissance exponentielle, 20 hours of courses and tutoring for Master 1 students, MIAGE (IM2AG, UGA).
  • Peter Sturm, Emmanuel Prados, Jean-Yves Courtonne : évaluation environnementale et blocages à l'action, 24 hours of courses and tutoring for post-master students, TEET (ENSE3, Grenoble INP).
  • Nils Ferrand, Master course on Transition Design (UGA, 18h)
  • Jean-Yves Courtonne, Mathilde Boissier, Guillaume Mandil, Emmanuel Prados, and Pierre-Yves Longaretti: Green University, a thematic school offering a systemic approach to anthropocene trajectories, open to 35 M1, M2 and PhD students from all UGA establishments. (UGA, 24h)
  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti, bachelor introduction course on global change challenges and lock-ins (UGA, 7h)

10.2.2 Supervision

  • PhD defended this year: Alexandre Borthomieu, "Vers une description biophysique de l'économie française : contributions méthodologiques à l'assemblage de modèles de filières", supervised by Peter Sturm, Jean-Yves Courtonne, and Vincent Jost (G-SCOP). 10 December 2024. External jury members: Nadia Brauner Vettier (UGA, president), Christine Solnon (INSA Lyon, reviewer), Éléonore Loiseau (INRAE Montpellier, reviewer), Alexandre Gondran (ENAC Toulouse, examiner).
  • PhD in progress: Enzo Baquet, "Analyse de la dynamique de propagation des perturbations intra et inter-sectorielle dans le contexte de crises à court terme", supervised by Serge Fenet, Pierre-Yves Longaretti, and Mathieu Mangeot.
  • PhD in progress: Antonin Berthe, "Etude de la faisabilité de la transition énergétique. Modélisation des couplages énergie-matière.", supervised by Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Emmanuel Prados, Olivier Vidal (ISTerre).
  • PhD in progress: Albert Bouffange, "Penser les contractions matérielles pour la France en liant économie politique et flux de matière et d'énergie", supervised by Agnès Labrousse (Sciences-Po Lyon), Emmanuel Prados, and Pierre-Yves Longaretti.
  • PhD in progress: Thibaut Coudroy, "Optimisation et gestion de contraintes pour la modélisation et l'évaluation d'alternatives socio-techniques", supervised by Peter Sturm, Serge Fenet, Jean-Yes Courtonne, Mathilde Boissier.
  • PhD in progress: Quentin Desvaux, "Re-conception de systèmes de production durables et territorialisés - apports croisés de l'écologie territoriale et de l'économie politique", supervised by Catherine Figuière (CREG), Guillaume Mandil, Jean-Yves Courtonne.
  • PhD in progress: Léon Fauste, "Relocalisation d’industrie productive : une approche par les graphes et les contraintes", supervised by Christine Solnon (Lyon University), Mathieu Mangeot, and Jean-Yves Courtonne.
  • Hannah Gelblat-Laugier, supervised by Valérie d'Acremont (Unisanté, Université de Lausanne) and Jean-Yves Courtonne.
  • PhD in progress: Jérémie Klein, "Outils numériques de modélisation fonctionnelle pour l’aide à la décision dans l’évaluation des transitions sous contraintes", supervised by Guillaume Mandil, Jean-Yves Courtonne, Peter Sturm, and Bernard Tourancheau (LIG).
  • PhD in progress: Emmanuel Krieger, "Modélisation socio-technique de territoires : modèles numériques et jeux sérieux", supervised by Peter Sturm, Nils Ferrand, and Jean-Yves Courtonne.
  • PhD in progress: Damien Rieutor, "Implémentation locale du concept des `Limites Planétaires'. Méthodologie de transposition territoriale des spécificités du concept de Limites Planétaires pour évaluer la criticité environnementale locale", supervised by Guillaume Mandil, Gwendoline de Oliveira Neves (Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Seville, Spain).

Sophie Wahnich (co-)supervises several PhD theses outside of STEEP, one being related to our considerations on territorial issues: Karla Candeia, "Le mouvement des sans terre au Bresil", EHESS.

10.2.3 Juries

  • Peter Sturm was a reviewer of the PhD thesis of Robin Bruneau (University of Copenhagen and INP Toulouse) and chairman of the PhD committee of Aina Rasoldier (Université Grenoble Alpes).
  • Sophie Wahnich chaired the habilitation committee of Déborah Cohen (Sorbonne Paris 1).

10.3 Popularization

10.3.1 Conference-debate series and YouTube-channel “Understanding and Acting”

In view of the global issues described in section 2.1, we initiated in 2016 a series of conference-debates entitled “Understanding and Acting” (Comprendre et Agir) that examines these issues in order to help researchers and citizens to increase their awareness of the various issues at stake in order to initiate relevant individual and collective actions. From now on, the scientific community at large must realize that its duty also lies in helping citizens to better understand these issues. If the fraction of people in society whose privilege is to be paid to think about society’s problems do not seize this opportunity in the critical times we face, who will? Researchers must become more involved in the search of socioeconomic alternatives and help citizens to implement them. The interactions between researchers and citizens have also to be reinvented.

Presentations typically last between 45 to 60 minutes; they are followed by a 45 minute public debate with the audience. The presentations are captured on video and then made accessible on the YouTube channelComprendre et Agir. As of 16 December 2024 the channel has about 14,300 subscribers and reached a total of over 1,135,000 viewings.

In 2024, we had the following conference-debates.

10.3.2 “Faire face, Face cinéma” series

The STEEP team co-organizes with the Design Factory of Université Grenoble Alpes and the PACTE laboratory a series of screenings of documentaries or films dedicated to social-environmental issues called "Faire face, Face cinéma". The screenings are followed by a debate between the director (except in exceptional cases), the organizers and the public. This cycle is supported and animated in particular by Sophie Wahnich (STEEP) and Anne Delaballe (UGA Design Factory). In 2024, the following films and documentaries were screened: La jungle plate (Johan Van der Keuken), Jonas qui aura 25 ans en l’an 2000 (Alain Tanner), V pour vendetta (James McTeigue), Koyaanisqatsi (Godfrey Reggio), and Alphaville (Jean-Luc Godard).

10.3.3 Groupe artistique de recherche scientifique (GAES)

The Hexagone theatre (a French Scène Nationale) based in Meylan, in collaboration with Quai des Savoirs in Toulouse, organizes scientific exploration sessions for artists. These times of discovery are designed as a collective immersion between all participants, artists and scientists alike. The aim is to transmit knowledge on scientific subjects, dispensed by guest scientists, in order to generate exchanges and confrontations between scientific and artistic imaginations, and collective and individual representations. Building on two collaborations in 2021 and 2022, the two partners proposed a new session in 2024, entitled The sciences of prediction, Humankind faced with its contradictions (Les sciences de la prédiction, l’Homme face à ses contradictions) on the sciences of prediction for 2024.

Four STEEP team members (Serge Fenet, Emmanuel Prados, Peter Sturm, and Sophie Wahnich) participated at this 3-day event, together with other scientists from Grenoble and ten invited artists from various artistic disciplines. We gave presentations on our works, on issues of socio-environmental degradations, and on scientific modeling. The event enabled rich exchanges with the artists on their perception of socio-environmental issues, on how they integrate them in their practice, etc.

10.3.4 Productions (articles, videos, podcasts, serious games, ...)

Theatrical production.

Sophie Wahnich participates in the theatrical production POLIS, under the auspices of the Hexagone theatre (a French Scène Nationale) based in Meylan, next to Grenoble. The first performances are planned for May 2025.

Media.

Sophie Wahnich:

Exhibitions.

Sophie Wahnich co-organised, with the Collectif les débordeuses, the exhibition Exister dans l'éco-féminisme, shown at Halle Roublot, Fontenay-sous-Bois, from November 2024 to January 2025.

Sophie also acted as scientific expert for the preparation of the exhibition Paris 1793-1794, une année révolutionnaire, hosted by the Musée Carnavalet, Paris, from October 2024 to February 2025.

Systemic Risk Fresco.

Systemic risks emerge from interactions within a system in which vulnerabilities are present. If elements of a system are sensitive and sufficiently intertwined, disrupting one or several of them can spread over the whole system, triggering chain reactions and feedback. Systemic thinking is not straightforward 102. Courses in education are often specialized, focusing on one or few themes or objects. Students often go from one subject to the other, without linking them. “All other things being equal” type reasoning then implicitly arises. This kind of reasoning is consequently blind to interactions with – and vulnerabilities to – changes in other elements of a system.

Studying Global Systemic Risks logically implies systemic thinking. Four PhD students of the team (Alexandre Borthomieu, Antonin Berthe, Léon Fauste, and Mathilde Jochaud du Plessix) created a game to vulgarize this kind of thinking. The Global Systemic Risks fresco (Fresque des risques systémiques globaux) is a serious game aimed at broadening the understanding of this aspect. It enables participants to explore interactions within a system and the spreading of disruptions. The game is a visual and spatial representation of the core elements of western societies.

A session takes place in three stages: (i) the construction of the fresco, (ii) the exploration of breakthrough scenarios and (iii) a time of “return to reality”. In the first stage, participants are invited to construct a map of elements they consider important for society; they are guided to first think about primary needs, then means to answer such needs (such as education or a construction sector) and finally, “sectors” allowing to realize these means (energy and materials, finance and geopolitics, “the environment”). Links between all these elements represent dependencies (see figure 11 for a sample outcome).

Figure 11

Photograph showing the outcome produced by participants of one workshop of the Systemic Risk Fresco, after phase I.

Figure 11: Structure designed by a group after phase I of the Systemic Risk Fresco workshop.

In the second stage, the thus established map allows to explore scenarios and questions such as how disruptions in one of the elements are links can spread through the system. The goal is to foster insight in the systemic nature of our socio-ecological system and to encourage participants to think about our needs in a new way, adapted to a degraded environment, and then eventually to create or imagine more resilient alternatives. As these topics are sources of discomfort and strong emotions, a workshop ends with a third stage, to share feedback on what they have just experienced, as well as a time for sharing emotions, which we believe is now essential for any research or knowledge creation around social and environmental issues that affect each person in different ways. Moreover, we believe that this time allows participants to be accompanied in the “return to reality” and to limit the feeling of powerlessness.

The Global Systemic Risks fresco has been employed in various workshops with different types of audience (scientists, students, general public) and we use it now routinely in several courses at university. It has also been demonstrated to members of the public authorities involved in the l'Atelier des Futurs initiative (section 9.4.4), as an input to the preparation of the Local Risk Report for the Grenoble area.

For more details on the fresco, please refer to this report.

10.3.5 Other science outreach relevant activities

  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti gave a talk on the book produced by the team (World3 et les limites de la croissance : questions raisonnées pour aujourd'hui) for the Balaton group (September 2024)
  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti and Sophie Wahnich gave a talk on the book produced by the team (World3 et les limites de la croissance : questions raisonnées pour aujourd'hui) at “Agence Française de Développement” (February 2024)
  • Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Emmanuel Prados and Sophie Wahnich gave a talk on the book produced by the team (World3 et les limites de la croissance : questions raisonnées pour aujourd'hui) at the Archipel Conference (Lyon, April 2024)
  • Emmanuel Prados was invited to speak at the opening conference of the Decidia 2024 trade show (for professionals only), 16 October 2024, Savoiexpo, Parc des expos de Chambéry. Conference title: “Understanding tomorrow's economy: new markets, new opportunities”. YT Conference video; All Replays.
  • Peter Sturm gave a talk entitled “Enjeux écologiques, pourquoi n'agit-on pas assez ?”, at the GRENE association (Grésivaudan Nord Environnement), 5 January 2024, Le Touvet, France.
  • Emmanuel Prados gave a talk entitled “Quel sens donner à notre action dans un monde voué à un effondrement environnemental et sociétal ? Sommes-nous réduits à une impuissance individuelle et collective ?”, at the GRENE association (Grésivaudan Nord Environnement), 23 March 2024, Le Touvet, France.
  • Jérémie Klein presented the STEEP team at the annual student forum of the ENSE3 engineering school, 11 April 2024, Grenoble, France.
  • Peter Sturm gave two presentations at the national training initiative on Environmental Impact of Digital organised by the National institute of nuclear and particle physics (IN2P3) of CNRS: “Le rôle du numérique dans le dérèglement climatique et la destruction des écosystèmes: Les freins à la sobriété et aux changements de comportement” and “Ecoconception logicielle et de services numériques (Optimisation, effets rebonds et résilience)”. May 2024, Aussois, France.
  • Jérémie Klein presented his PhD research on “Decision support tools for evaluating ecological transition scenarios” at Grenoble University's “Café-Tech”, 14 November 2024.
  • Albert Bouffange animated an “apéro-débat” on the topic Ecological economy and other alternative models, Association La MADRE, Grenoble, 17 December 2024.
  • Emmanuel Prados gave a talk entitled “What sense can we make of our actions in a world facing environmental and societal collapse? Are we reduced to individual and collective powerlessness? ”, at Grenoble's Lycée Champollion to 3 classes of 'Terminale' high school students (invited by teacher Richard Tribouilloy). 03 October 2024, Grenoble, France .
  • Sophie Wahnich gave a presentation entitled “L'universel aujourd'hui”, on the distinction between universality and universalism, at the event La grande parade métèque, Les Lilas, France, 27 April 2024.
  • Sophie Wahnich gave a presentation entitled “L’après coup à la croisée du temps long et du temps court : interpréter l’automne de la révolution française” at the association Le laboratoire du temps qui passe, Paris, 14 November 2024.
  • Sophie Wahnich gave a presentation on her book La révolution des sentiments (Seuil, March 2024), organised by Citéphilo. Auditorium du Palais des Beaux-Arts, Lille, France, 17 November 2024.
  • Sophie Wahnich dialogued with the philosopher Michel Feher on the topic Émotion et politique, at Villa Gilet, Lyon, France, 13 November 2024.

11 Scientific production

11.1 Major publications

  • 1 articleM.Michela Bevione, J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, B.Buclet Nicolas, P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti and Q.Quentin Desvaux. Analyzing the vulnerabilities and capabilities of wealth creation activities in the Maurienne valley in the French Alps.Regional Environmental Change2264May 2022, 1-44HALDOI
  • 2 inproceedingsM.Mathilde Boissier, N.Nils Ferrand, E.Emmanuel Krieger, J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne and P.Peter Sturm. Playing with flows in transition territories.Nicolas Becu. Simulation and Gaming for Social and Environmental Transitions.: Proceedings of the 54th Conference of the International Simulation and Gaming Association. 2023, 979-10-415-2760-1. ⟨halshs-04209935⟩ISAGA 2023 - 54th edition of the International Simulation and Gaming for Social and Environmental TransitionsLa Rochelle, FranceSeptember 2023HAL
  • 3 articleT.Thomas Capelle, P.Peter Sturm, A.Arthur Vidard and B.Brian Morton. Calibration of the Tranus Land Use Module: Optimisation-Based Algorithms, their Validation, and Parameter Selection by Statistical Model Selection.Computers, Environment and Urban Systems77September 2019, 101146:1-13HALDOI
  • 4 articleJ.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, J.Julien Alapetite, P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti, D.Denis Dupré and E.Emmanuel Prados. Downscaling material flow analysis: The case of the cereal supply chain in France.Ecological Economics118October 2015, 67-80HALDOI
  • 5 inproceedingsJ.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, J.Julien Alapetite, V.Vincent Wawrzyiak and M.Michela Bevione. The AF Filières project: application of PSUT frameworks for regional analyses of agriculture and forestry supply chains and footprints in France.ESEE 2019 - 13th International Conference of the European Society for Ecological EconomicsTurku, FinlandJune 2019, 1-4HAL
  • 6 articleJ.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti, J.Julien Alapetite and D.Denis Dupré. Environmental Pressures Embodied in the French Cereals Supply Chain.Journal of Industrial Ecology2032016, 423-434HALDOI
  • 7 articleL.Louis Delannoy, P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti, D.David Murphy and E.Emmanuel Prados. Assessing Global Long-Term EROI of Gas: A Net-Energy Perspective on the Energy Transition.Energies1416August 2021, 5112HALDOI
  • 8 articleL.Louis Delannoy, P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti, D.David Murphy and E.Emmanuel Prados. Peak oil and the low-carbon energy transition: A net-energy perspective.Applied Energy304December 2021, 1-17HALDOI
  • 9 articleQ.Quentin Desvaux, J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, C.Catherine Figuière and G.Guillaume Mandil. The transformation of Grenoble Alpes Métropole’s construction industry: a comparative analysis of transition mechanisms guided by action research.Géographie, Économie, Société262-32024, 425-452HAL
  • 10 inproceedingsL.Luciano Gervasoni, M.Martí Bosch, S.Serge Fenet and P.Peter Sturm. A framework for evaluating urban land use mix from crowd-sourcing data.2nd International Workshop on Big Data for Sustainable DevelopmentWashington DC, United StatesIEEEDecember 2016, 2147-2156HALDOI
  • 11 inproceedingsJ.Jérôme Gippet, S.Serge Fenet, A.Adeline Dumet, B.Bernard Kaufmann and C.Charles Rocabert. MoRIS: Model of Routes of Invasive Spread. Human-mediated dispersal, road network and invasion parameters.5th International Conference on Ecology and Transportation: Integrating Transport Infrastructures with Living LandscapesProceedings of the IENE 2016 conferenceLyon, FranceAugust 2016HAL
  • 12 articleJ.Jonathan Lenglet, J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne and S.Sylvain Caurla. Material flow analysis of the forest-wood supply chain: A consequential approach for log export policies in France.Journal of Cleaner Production165August 2017, 1296-1305HALDOI
  • 13 articleF.-R.François-Rémi Mazy and P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti. Towards a Generic Theoretical Framework for Pattern-Based LUCC Modeling: An Accurate and Powerful Calibration-Estimation Method Based on Kernel Density Estimation.Environmental Modelling and Software158105551December 2022, 1-23HALDOI
  • 14 articleF.-R.François-Rémi Mazy and P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti. Towards a generic theoretical framework for pattern-based LUCC modeling: Allocation revisited: Formal foundations and bias identification.Environmental Modelling and Software166August 2023, 105706HALDOI
  • 15 inproceedingsE.Emmanuel Prados, P.Patrick Criqui and C.Constantin Ilasca. A Benchmarking Tool for the International Climate Negotiations.AAAI-15 Special Track on Computational SustainabilityAustin, United StatesAAAIJanuary 2015, 95-100HAL
  • 16 articleC.Charles Rocabert, S.Serge Fenet, B.Bernard Kaufmann and J.Jérôme Gippet. Accounting for the topology of road networks to better explain human‐mediated dispersal in terrestrial landscapes.Ecography20243March 2024, e07068:1-13HALDOI
  • 17 bookZ.Zoe Steep, S.Sophie Wahnich and L.Louis Delannoy. Les limites à la croissance.Meadows : questions raisonnées.Voix publiquesexcèsOctober 2023HAL
  • 18 articleC.Clémence Vannier, A.Adeline Bierry, P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti, B.Baptiste Nettier, T.Thomas Cordonnier, C.Christophe Chauvin, N.Nathalie Bertrand, F.Fabien Quetier, R.Rémy Lasseur and S.Sandra Lavorel. Co-constructing future land-use scenarios for the Grenoble region, France.Landscape and Urban Planning1902019, 103614HALDOI
  • 19 articleC.Clémence Vannier, R.Rémy Lasseur, E.Emilie Crouzat, C.Coline Byczek, V.Valentine Lafond, T.Thomas Cordonnier, P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti and S.Sandra Lavorel. Mapping ecosystem services bundles in a heterogeneous mountain region.Ecosystems and People151February 2019, 74-88HALDOI

11.2 Publications of the year

International journals

National journals

Invited conferences

  • 31 inproceedingsS.Sophie Wahnich. Republican Repair of a Burnt-Out and Brutalized Post-War Society: The Case of the French Revolution.Fourth Venice World Multidisciplinary Conference on Republics and RepublicanismVenice, Italy2024, 1-18HAL

International peer-reviewed conferences

  • 32 inproceedingsJ.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, A.Albert Bouffange, A.Amandine Galibert, E.Elisa Hittner, J.Jérémie Klein, E.Emmanuel Krieger, S. S.Sophie S. Madelrieux and P.Peter Sturm. Closing the gap between Musiasem and S. Pauliuk's socio-economic metabolism accounting framework.Proceedings of the 10th International Degrowth Conference and the 15th Conference of The European Society for Ecological Economics10th International Degrowth Conference & 15th Conference of the European Society for Ecological EconomicsPontevedra, SpainJune 2024, 1-1HALback to text
  • 33 inproceedingsJ.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, A.Alexandre Pannier, J.Julien Alapetite, F.Fabrice Levert, B.Boris Duflot, A.-L.Anne-Laure Levet, A.Amandine Galibert and S.Sophie Madelrieux. A baseline for material flow models of French agri-food supply chains.2024 - 10th International Degrowth Conference and the 15th Conference of the European Society for Ecological Economics (ESEE)Pontevedra, Spain2024, 1-2HALback to text
  • 34 inproceedingsJ.Jérémie Klein, A.Albert Bouffange, J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne and G.Guillaume Mandil. Cuba metabolism reconfiguration after the collapse of the Soviet Union.Proceedings of the 10th International Degrowth Conference and the 15th International Conference of the European Society for Ecological Economics10th International Degrowth Conference & 15th International Conference of the European Society for Ecological EconomicsPontevedra, SpainJune 2024, 1-1HALback to text

National peer-reviewed Conferences

Conferences without proceedings

  • 36 inproceedingsA.Albert Bouffange. La planification cubaine à l'épreuve de la contraction des flux de matière et d'énergie. Lier théorie de la régulation et analyse biophysique pour penser les institutions d'un métabolisme social qui se réduit.AFEP 2024 - XIIIe Congrès de l’Association Française d’Économie PolitiqueMontpellier, FranceJuly 2024HALback to text
  • 37 inproceedingsQ.Quentin Desvaux. Analysis of the Grenoble Alpes Métropole construction waste sector: decompartmentalizing knowledge through action research.Doctoriales de Rudologie 2024 - 2ème édition des journées « Ce que l’immonde dit du monde : étudier les déchets en SHS »Le Mans, France2024HALback to text
  • 38 inproceedingsF.Fabrice Levert, J.Julien Alapetite, C.Christophe Alliot, Y.Yannick Carel, J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, V.Valérie Diot, X.Xavier Dornier, S.Sophie Drogué, B.Boris Duflot, S.Simon Fourdin, A.-L.Anne-Laure Levet, S. S.Sophie S. Madelrieux and S.Smadja Tiana. Les diagrammes de flux des filières agricoles françaises du champ à l'assiette : vers la production d'un référentiel commun.18ème Journées de Recherche en Sciences SocialesReims, FranceDecember 2024, 1-19HALback to text
  • 39 inproceedingsS.Sophie Wahnich and A.Albert Bouffange. Sociétés bouleversées, confiance en danger ? 1989 à Cuba et 1794 en France, deux exemples pour penser ce qui fait tenir ou pas une société en situation de changement radical.Conférence Archipel 2024Lyon (campus scientifique Ensa), France2024HAL
  • 40 inproceedingsS.Sophie Wahnich. La révolution française a t-elle été populiste ?: Was the french revolution populist ?2024 - Colloque : Penser le plébéianismeParis, France2024, 1-20HAL
  • 41 inproceedingsV.Valérie d'Acremont, E.Enzo Baquet and S.Serge Fenet. Atelier Archipel 2024 : construire une cartographie des risques sociétaux globaux.Archipel 2024Lyon, France2024, 1-3HALback to text

Scientific books

  • 42 bookS.Sophie Wahnich. The revolution of feelings, how to make a city? 1789-1794.La couleur des idéesSeuil2024HAL

Scientific book chapters

  • 43 inbookC.Caroline Lejars, S.Séverine Bouard and N.Nils Ferrand. Shared water policy in New Caledonia: Feedback on a mechanism for policy co-construction and co-planning.Transformative participation for socio-ecological sustainability: Around the CoOPLAGE pathwaysQuaeSeptember 2024, 230-240HAL
  • 44 inbookC.Caroline Lejars, V.Veronica Mitroi, G.Guillaume Lestrelin, J.Julien Burte, I.Isabelle Tritsch and N.Nils Ferrand. Supporting participatory processes in territorial governance: The researcher's "risky" stance.Transformative participation for socio-ecological sustainability: Around the CoOPLAGE pathwayséditions Quæ2024, 76-92HAL
  • 45 inbookS.Sophie Wahnich. Emotions.Paris 1793-1794, une année révolutionnaireParis Musées2024, 102HAL
  • 46 inbookS.Sophie Wahnich. Maquiavelo entre los tiempos.Maquiavavelo contemporaneo, la materailidad de la teoria politicaSerie general universitariaBellaterria Edicions2024, 199-221HAL
  • 47 inbookS.Sophie Wahnich. Places of history, Politics and time.Possibilities of places in continental thoughtBloomsbury academicBloomsbury2024, 121-141HAL
  • 48 inbookS.Sophie Wahnich. Rhythms and revolution: off-beats, syncopations, repeats.Rythmologies2024, 1-8In press. HAL
  • 49 inbookS.Sophie Wahnich. The Greek problems of our democracy/the revolutionary problems of our democratic republic: the barred memory of conflict.En finir avec les Grecs ? Nicole Loraux : le travail de l’œuvre2024. In press. HAL
  • 50 inbookS.Sophie Wahnich. The popular sovereignty of the gilets jaunes in the light of the laboratory of the French Revolution.La souveraineté populaire : un levier pour la démocratie ?DocumentsLe bord de l'eau2024, 271-285HAL

Reports & preprints

Other scientific publications

Scientific popularization

  • 62 miscA.Albert Bouffange, B.Baptiste Andrieu, F.Florence Jany-Catrice and P.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti. Une croissance moins polluante ? Encore faut-il savoir ce que l'on entend par croissance….February 2024, 1-6HAL
  • 63 miscL.Louis Delannoy. The energy transition can be fair, just and inclusive – but the window of opportunity is closing fast.February 2024HAL
  • 64 inbookN.Nils Ferrand, E.Emeline Hassenforder and W.Wanda Aquae-Gaudi. The CoOPLAGE approach: When actors model their situation, principles or plans together for sustainable, empowering decision-making and change.Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathwaysUpdate Sciences & technologieséditions QuaeApril 2024, 28-41HALDOI
  • 65 inbookN.Nils Ferrand, E.Emeline Hassenforder and S.Sabine Girard. Engineering participation: Preparing and designing a participatory process.Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathwaysUpdate Sciences & technologiesQUAE2024, 109-121HAL
  • 66 inbookN.Nils Ferrand, C.Clovis Kabaseke, M.Moses Muhumuza, T.Thaddeo Tibasiima and E.Emeline Hassenforder. CoOPLAN multi-scale participatory planning process: Applications in Uganda and elsewhere.Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathwaysUpdate Sciences & technologiesQUAE2024, 207-229HAL
  • 67 inbookE.Emeline Hassenforder and N.Nils Ferrand. Evaluating a participatory process.Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathwaysUpdate Sciences & technologiesQUAE2024, 122-130HAL
  • 68 inbookE.Emeline Hassenforder and N.Nils Ferrand. Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathways. Conclusion.Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathwaysUpdate Sciences & technologiesQUAE2024, 257-260HAL
  • 69 inbookE.Emeline Hassenforder and N.Nils Ferrand. Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathways. Introduction.Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability - Around the CoOPLAGE pathwaysUpdate Sciences & technologiesQUAE2024, 7-15HAL
  • 70 bookE.Emeline Hassenforder and N.Nils Ferrand, eds. Transformative Participation for Socio-Ecological Sustainability: Around the CoOPLAGE pathways.Update Sciences & technologieséditions QuaeApril 2024, 273 p.HALDOI
  • 71 inproceedingsP.-Y.Pierre-Yves Longaretti. Climate change and energy transition: inter-sector challenges.Formation des cadres de la fonction publiqueLyon, France2024HAL
  • 72 inbookD.Damien Rieutor, G.Guillaume Mandil and J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne. L'urgence de la territorialisation du cadre des Limites Planétaires.Limites planétaires (Les)Une nouvelle boussole pour l'habitabilité de la TerrePoints FNAU15AlternativesApril 2024, 1-160HALback to text

11.3 Cited publications

  • 73 bookU.U. Bardi. The Limits to Growth Revisited.Springer Verlag2011back to text
  • 74 techreportF.Françoise Berthoud, P.Pascal Guitton, L.Laurent Lefèvre, S.Sophie Quinton, A.Antoine Rousseau, J.Jacques Sainte-Marie, C.Céline Serrano, J.-B.Jean-Bernard Stefani, P.Peter Sturm and E.Eric Tannier. Sciences, Environnements et Sociétés.InriaOctober 2019HALback to text
  • 75 articleE.E. Bovari, G.G. Giraud and F.F. Mc Isaac. Coping With Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Macrodynamics of Global Warming.Ecological Economics1472018, 383-398back to text
  • 76 bookL. R.Lester R. Brown. World on the edge: how to prevent environmental and economic collapse.New YorkW.W. Norton2011back to text
  • 77 inproceedingsO.Oliver Cencic and H.Helmut Rechberger. Material flow analysis with software STAN.EnviroInfo2008, 440--447back to text
  • 78 articleM.M.A. Centeno, M.M. Nag, T.T.S. Patterson, A.A. Shaver and A.A.J. Windawi. The Emergence of Global Systemic Risk.Annual Review of Sociology4112015, 65-85back to text
  • 79 inproceedingsC.Cécile Cordier, M.Manon Sailley, J.-Y.Jean-Yves Courtonne, B.Boris Duflot, F.François Cadudal, C.Christophe Perrot, A.Aude Brion and R.René Baumont. Quantify raw material flows used in animal feed in France and segment consumptions by animal sector.3R 2020 - 25e édition Congrès international francophone sur les Rencontres Recherches RuminantsParis, FranceDecember 2020, 1-5HALback to textback to text
  • 80 techreportV.Virginie Courtier and E.Eric Guilyardi. Entre liberté et responsabilité : l’engagement public des chercheurs et chercheuses.Avis 2023-44Comité d'éthique du CNRSJuly 2023back to text
  • 81 articleJ.-Y.J.-Y. Courtonne, J.J. Alapetite, P.-Y.P.-Y. Longaretti, D.D. Dupré and E.E. Prados. Downscaling Material Flow Analysis: The Case of the Cereal Supply Chain in France.Ecological Economics1182015, 67-80back to text
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  1. 1As for the predictability of their time and order of occurrence, at least within the scope of our present knowledge.
  2. 2Grenoble Alpes Métropole, Département de l’Isère, EP SCoT de la Grande Région de Grenoble, Ville de Grenoble, Massif du Vercors, Pays Voironnais, Le Grésivaudan, Parcs de Chartreuse et du Vercors, Agence d'urbanisme.