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Section: Research Program

Identification

The behavior of the monitored continuous system is assumed to be described by a parametric model {𝐏θ,θΘ}, where the distribution of the observations (Z0,...,ZN) is characterized by the parameter vector θΘ. An estimating function, for example of the form :

𝒦N(θ)=1/Nk=0NK(θ,Zk)

is such that 𝐄θ[𝒦N(θ)]=0 for all θΘ. In many situations, 𝒦 is the gradient of a function to be minimized : squared prediction error, log-likelihood (up to a sign), .... For performing model identification on the basis of observations (Z0,...,ZN), an estimate of the unknown parameter is then [63]  :

θ^N=arg{θΘ:𝒦N(θ)=0}

In many applications, such an approach must be improved in the following directions :

  • Recursive estimation: the ability to compute θ^N+1 simply from θ^N;

  • Adaptive estimation: the ability to track the true parameter θ* when it is time-varying.