Section: Partnerships and Cooperations
National Initiatives
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The ANR project Estimair aims at quantifying the uncertainties of air quality simulations at urban scale. The propagation of uncertainties requires the use of model reduction and emulation. A key uncertainty source lies in the traffic emissions, which will be generated using a dynamic traffic assignment model. Ensembles of traffic assignments will be calibrated and used in the uncertainty quantification. Estimair is led by Clime.
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The IPSL project "AVES" (Ensemble Variational Assimilation applied to a shallow-water model) aims at estimating the quality of an ensemble produced by a variational ensemble algorithm applied on a shallow-water numerical model. A focus is made on the bayesian properties of the ensemble, i.e. its capacity to sample the a-posteriori probability law of the model state.