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Section: New Results

Inference for spatial Gibbs point processes

Participant : Frédéric Lavancier.

Gibbs point processes are popular and widely used models in spatial statistics to describe the repartition of points or geometrical structures in space. They initially arose from statistical physics where they are models for interacting particles. They are now used in as different domains as astronomy, biology, computer science, ecology, forestry, image analysis and materials science. Assuming a parametric form of the Gibbs interaction, the natural method to estimate the parameters is likelihood inference. Since its first use in the 80’s, this method is conjectured to be consistent and efficient. However the theoretical properties of maximum likelihood for Gibbs point processes remain largely unknown. In [39] , we have partly solved this 30 years old conjecture by proving the consistency of the likelihood procedure for a large class of Gibbs models. As important examples, we deduced the consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for all parameters of the Strauss model, the hardcore Strauss model, the Lennard-Jones model and the area-interaction model, which are commonly used models in practice.

A practical issue of likelihood estimation yet is that this method depends on an intractable normalizing constant that has to be approximated by simulation. To avoid this problem, other methods of estimation have been introduced, including pseudo-likelihood estimation. The theoretical properties of the pseudo-likelihood method are fairly well known in the case of finite-range Gibbs interactions. However, this setting rules out some major Gibbs models as the Lennard-Jones model. In [15] , we have extended the pseudo-likelihood procedure to infinite range Gibbs interactions and proved its consistency and its asymptotic normality.

References:  [15] , [39]

Collaborators: David Dereudre (Laboratoire Paul Painlevé (UMR 8524), University of Lille 1),

                          Jean-François Coeurjolly (Laboratoire Jean Kutzmann, University of Grenoble).